LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
February 02/08

Bible Reading of the day.
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Mark 4,26-34. He said,"This is how it is with the kingdom of God; it is as if a man were to scatter seed on the land and would sleep and rise night and day and the seed would sprout and grow, he knows not how. Of its own accord the land yields fruit, first the blade, then the ear, then the full grain in the ear. And when the grain is ripe, he wields the sickle at once, for the harvest has come." He said, "To what shall we compare the kingdom of God, or what parable can we use for it? It is like a mustard seed that, when it is sown in the ground, is the smallest of all the seeds on the earth. But once it is sown, it springs up and becomes the largest of plants and puts forth large branches, so that the birds of the sky can dwell in its shade."With many such parables he spoke the word to them as they were able to understand it.
Without parables he did not speak to them, but to his own disciples he explained everything in private.

Free Opinions, Releases, letters & Special Reports
An initiative on the brink. By: Dina Ezzat. Al-Ahram Weekly- 1/2/08
Beirut's 'Bloody Sunday'.By: Lucy Fielder.Al-Ahram Weekly - 1/2/08
Moussa and the Eyes of the "Apparatuses". By: Zuheir Kseibati. Al Hayat - 31/01/08

The General's (Aoun) Media and Messages. By: Hassan Haydar. January 01/08
Winograd acknowledges one lost opportunity but misses a larger one-The Daily Star-January 01/08 
Talking about Lebanon with Bobby Fischer-By Julie Flint-January 01/08

Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for February 01/08
Clashes Over Posters Erection Leave 3 Injured-Naharnet
Results of Riots Probe Within 'Days'-Naharnet
Man Killed by Unknown Assailants-Naharnet
Gemayel Says Aoun Lost Flexibility After Consulting Allies
-Naharnet
France Urges Shedding Light on Sunday's Events
-Naharnet
Amnesty: Lebanon War Report 'Deeply Flawed'
-Naharnet
Mitri: Arab FMs, Except for Muallem, Stressed Need to Give Priority to Elections
-Naharnet
Fatfat: Political Campaign against Suleiman after Opposition's Terrorist Attacks
-Naharnet
Suleiman: Winograd Report Strengthens Our Self-Esteem
-Naharnet
Arabs Urged to Confront Iran in Iraq, Palestine and Lebanon
-Naharnet
Syria's Conditions Exceed Demands by Its Lebanese Allies
-Naharnet
Obama would talk with Iran and Syria
-Jerusalem Post
Egypt, Iran to Coordinate Over Iraq, Lebanon-Naharnet
French Defense Minister: Iran still Seeking Nuclear Arms-Naharnet

Olmert hangs tough despite new calls for resignation-Daily Star
March 14 accuses rivals of trying to block Suleiman-Daily Star
Fadlallah, Nasrallah call for 'transparent' probe into riots-Daily Star
Analysts say riots dragged army into political battle-Daily Star
Suleiman touts Winograd conclusions as victory for both resistance and army-Daily Star
Rights group: Panel failed to address war crimes-AFP
Winograd: a war which Israel 'failed to win-Daily Star
Residents of Ain al-Rummaneh, Shiyyah: 'One country, one people, one Lebanon-Daily Star
AUB touts new Master's in ICT program-Daily Star
Head of NNA's Sidon bureau passes away at age 57-Daily Star
Siniora urges ministries to address storm fallout-Daily Star
Lebanon car sales surge after dismal 2006
-Daily Star
Snow Storm Isolates Villages, Leaving Thousands without Power or Phone Lines-Naharnet
Fatfat: Political Campaign against Suleiman after Opposition's Terrorist Attacks-Naharnet
Amnesty: Lebanon War Report 'Deeply Flawed'-Naharnet
Mitri: Arab FMs, Except for Muallem, Stressed Need to Give Priority to Elections
-Naharnet
Suleiman: Winograd Report Strengthens Our Self-Esteem
-Naharnet
Grenade Attacks on Army Posts Since Monday
-Naharnet
Al-Rahi: Christians Became Followers of Muslims
-Naharnet
Winograd Report on 2006 War Faults Israeli Army, Spares Olmert
-Naharnet
Facts and Figures from Inquiry Into 2006 Lebanon War
-Naharnet
Hizbullah Reiterates Victory after Winograd Report
-Naharnet
Initial Testimony: Gunshots Came from Shiyah
-Naharnet
Austrian FM to Embark on Mideast Tour that will Include Lebanon
-Naharnet
Iran for a Solution that 'Safeguards Rights of all Lebanese Parties'
-Naharnet
Moussa Warns: Elect a President or Face Instability
-Naharnet
Kuwaiti Speaker: Hands Off Lebanon
-Naharnet
Minister Murr: Riots Threaten Stability and Security
-Naharnet
Saniora Stresses Importance of Restraint
-Naharnet
Lebanon's New Civil War Recipe-Naharnet
Lebanese Army Dragged into Trouble
-Naharnet
Syria Doubts Suleiman's Nomination as Consensus Candidate
-Naharnet
Assad Regime Escalates Dissident Crackdown
-Naharnet
Bush Administration Condemns Growing Repression in Syria-Naharnet

Al-Rahi: Christians Became Followers of Muslims
Maronite Bishop Beshara al-Rahi said the Christians are divided and have become followers of Muslims and a pawn of foreign powers.
Rahi said that the Christians in Lebanon were split between the pro-government March 14 alliance and the Hizbullah-led March 8 Forces.
"We cannot deny that March 14 is a pro-U.S., Saudi and Egyptian Sunni movement led by (MP) Saad Hariri, while March 8 is a pro-Iranian and Syrian movement headed by Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri," Rahi told al Rawabet magazine.
"Between these two movements, the Christians are split and lost, and a Christian citizen in one party has become to despise his Christian fellow national in the other group," Rahi said. He said the Christians should play a "rapprochement role" among the Muslims instead of "quarreling at the expense of the Sunni and Shiite row."
Rahi pointed out that Lebanon's crises were "imported" and laid the blame on Lebanese for entrusting management of their country to foreign powers.
He also held both March 8 and March 14 responsible for the presidential vacuum, adding that the problem was not the presidency itself but "a result of how things are being directed and a result of handing the president's jurisdiction the prime minister (a post) headed by a Sunni." Beirut, 31 Jan 08, 08:08

Snow Storm Isolates Villages, Leaving Thousands without Power or Phone Lines
A huge snowstorm continued to hit Lebanon Thursday, isolating villages and towns and causing widespread havoc on roads with temperatures reaching below zero in many areas, including the capital. Many villages and towns at an altitude of 600 meters were blanketed by snow that also left thousands of people without power or telephone lines. Officials said service to most areas will be restored as soon as possible.Strong winds inflicted severe damage to crops and other property, while the rain turned many roads into rivers. Local weather forecasts expected the stormy weather to subside later Thursday. But they predicted cloudy and rainy weather to continue through Friday.  The forecast said winds were blowing at a speed varying between 10 and 35 kilometers per hour, with poor visibility in the highlands.
Internal Security Forces declared emergency, warning motorists against driving on mountainous roads due to thick fog, snow and ice. Coastal cities saw heavy rain and the formation of a rare thin layer of hailstones on cars and roads as temperatures reached record low levels. Heavy snow fall also forced the closure of schools, stores and firms in mountainous regions.

Fatfat: Political Campaign against Suleiman after Opposition's Terrorist Attacks
Sports and Youth Minister Ahmed Fatfat renewed his attacks against the Hizbullah-led opposition, accusing it of launching a political campaign against army commander Gen. Michel Suleiman following its "terrorist" attacks against the military. "The opposition's campaign began with terrorist attacks against the Lebanese army, then with a political campaign against the army commander and afterwards they commenced their attacks against Internal Security Forces and the rest of the spiritual leaders," Fatfat said in an interview with the Kuwaiti daily Alseyassa. "This means that someone is trying to assassinate the government in Lebanon," Fatfat said. He believed that Sunday's unrests were the result of the political language that has dragged on for the past one and a half years. "Lebanon is under a real war and a terrorist attack which started with (Syrian President) Bashar al-Assad's Aug. 2006 speech when he ordered to use the resistance's victory over Israel into local victory," Fatfat went on. "Since then, they have created a crisis under the slogan of partnership," he added. Fatfat also slammed Free Patriotic Movement leader Gen. Michel Aoun, accusing him of seeking "one goal which is to reach the presidency. Nothing else concerns him." Beirut, 31 Jan 08, 12:11

U.N. Concerned Over Lebanon
The United Nations political chief and several Security Council permanent representatives have voiced concern over the presidential vacuum in Lebanon and the recent incidents that have threatened the country's stability. "Lebanon's leaders must act now to find a way to bridge their positions and return the country to normal political activity" Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs Lynn Pascoe said during a briefing to the Council Wednesday.
Lebanon has been without a head of state since President Emile Lahoud's term ended in November.
Pascoe also voiced U.N. concern over Sunday's protests in the Shiyah district of Beirut's southern suburbs that left eight people dead and the assassination last Friday of top intelligence officer Capt. Wissam Eid. He said the recent troubles in the Middle East illustrate "the gap between the aspirations of the political process and the grim realities of the situation on the ground." He said the current crisis in the Gaza Strip is overshadowing efforts to find a long-term peace settlement to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.French Ambassador Jean-Maurice Ripert, in comments after Pascoe's briefing on conditions in the Middle East, said the security situation in Lebanon has recently deteriorated and latest incidents show there is a campaign to "destabilize" the country. He also said the culprits in the killing of Eid should be brought to justice and an investigation into Sunday's incidents should reveal those involved in the shootings on protestors. On Lebanon's presidential vacuum, Ripert reiterated his country's support for the three-point Arab plan which called for the election of Army Chief Gen. Michel Suleiman president, the formation of a national unity cabinet in which no one party has veto power and the adoption of a new electoral law.
In his statement, British ambassador John Sawers said his country was "alarmed" by the deteriorating security situation in Lebanon.
"It remains essential that political divisions are reconciled and that an election of a president is allowed to proceed without outside interference. We welcome the recent efforts of the Arab League. We look to all those with influence to use it responsibly and for the common good of all Lebanese," he said.
Acting U.S. ambassador Alejandro D. Wolff, in his turn, reiterated support for Premier Fouad Saniora's "legitimate and democratically-elected" government and urged the immediate election of a head of state "in accordance with Lebanon's constitution."He also told members of the Council that the Bush administration appreciated "the U.N.'s efforts to rapidly establish the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, which will hold accountable those responsible for the assassination" of ex-Premier Hariri and related crimes. "We urge members of the Council and U.N. member states to provide financial assistance to allow the Tribunal to proceed with its important work," Wolff said. He urged "Syria, Iran, and their allies to end their interference" in Lebanon's internal offers and stop obstructing the country's "democratic process." Beirut, 31 Jan 08, 11:40

Grenade Attacks on Army Posts Since Monday
Press reports said Lebanese army positions in several areas of Beirut have been subjected to a series of grenade and concussion bomb attacks over the past few days. The reports said unknown assailants tossed four concussion bombs on army posts in Ein el-Rummaneh, Tayyouneh, Shatilla and the Mazda area overnight Monday.  They said four hand grenades were also thrown at dawn Tuesday on a military position in the Saint Therese-Hadath neighborhood, one of which failed to explode. A military Land Rover was damaged in the attack, but no soldiers were wounded, according to the reports. Another concussion bomb was hurled on a military post in Beirut's Talet al-Khayat district before daybreak Wednesday. The attacks came after bloody riots on Sunday left eight people killed and at least 40 wounded. The protests against power cuts quickly degenerated into street violence and the army deployed to prevent the unrest from spreading into other areas.
Hizbullah blamed the government for the unrest and some Hizbullah deputies accused the army of indiscriminately firing at the protestors. Hizbullah MP Ali Ammar also said that the military was being used as a pawn by the ruling March 14 coalition. The army said it has opened an investigation into Sunday's bloodshed and the government has promised that the culprits will be brought to justice. Beirut, 31 Jan 08, 10:23

Amnesty: Lebanon War Report 'Deeply Flawed'
Amnesty International on Thursday criticized an Israeli report into the 2006 offensive on Lebanon, saying it had failed to address major issues, including war crimes committed by its soldiers. The Winograd Commission report published Wednesday was "deeply flawed" and did not probe government policies and military strategies which did not distinguish between Hizbullah fighters and Lebanese civilians, the London-based human rights group said.
Amnesty's Middle East and North Africa program director, Malcolm Smart, said the study was "another missed opportunity to address the policies and decisions behind the grave violations of international humanitarian law -- including war crimes -- committed by Israeli forces." "The indiscriminate killings of many Lebanese civilians not involved in the hostilities and the deliberate and wanton destruction of civilian properties and infrastructure on a massive scale were given no more than token consideration by the commission," he added. The long-awaited report said the 34-day July-August 2006 war was a "serious missed opportunity" for the Jewish state while there were "serious failings and flaws" in military and political strategy. But it spared Prime Minister Ehud Olmert from particular criticism, saying he acted in what he sincerely believed to be the country's best interest. Amnesty said there was "no serious attempt" to probe violations of humanitarian law or recommend prosecutions for perpetrators. The Non-Governmental Organization (NGO) recommended Israel set up an independent inquiry into its soldiers' actions and a ban on cluster bombs, as well as helping the clean-up operation by providing data about where they were fired.
Hizbullah should "renounce its unlawful policy" of reprisal rocket attacks against Israeli civilians and ensure its fighters distinguish themselves from civilians as much as possible, it added. The two Israeli soldiers whose kidnapping on July 12 was a spark for the conflict should be treated humanely at all times and have access to the Red Cross, it said.(AFP-Naharnet) Beirut, 31 Jan 08, 15:17

Suleiman: Winograd Report Strengthens Our Self-Esteem

Army Commander Gen. Michel Suleiman described the Winograd report as a "joint victory" by both the Lebanese army and Hizbullah over Israel. He was commenting on the Winograd Commission's final report which found "serious failings and flaws" by Israel's political and military leaders in its 2006 war against Lebanon. The report, however, concluded that Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert acted in what he thought was Israel's best interests. "Israel's acknowledgement that the military operation against Lebanon had failed strengthens our self-esteem," Suleiman told the daily As Safir in remarks published Thursday. He said it also "emphasizes on the joint victory of the army and the resistance" in the July-August 2006 war that killed 1,200 Lebanese, mainly civilians, and 159 Israelis, mostly soldiers. Suleiman said Lebanon "has always and will always be targeted," adding that "the army, the resistance and the people should be on full alert in order to thwart the destructive dangers, prevent unrest and block an attempt aimed at sowing discord between the army and the resistance." "No force on earth will shake that trust," Suleiman warned. Beirut, 31 Jan 08, 11:18

Priority to Elections
Acting Foreign Minister Tarek Mitri uncovered that Arab Foreign Ministers who met in Cairo last Sunday had all, but Syria's FM, stressed on the need to end the long-running political crisis in Lebanon by electing a new president. He said several Arab foreign ministers stressed the need to give priority to electing a consensus president. "Yet Syrian Foreign Minister Walid Muallem's words did not imply that he was honestly with the Lebanese and Arab consensus," Mitri said.
"The spirit of the Arab initiative gives priority to electing a consensus president," he said. He said Muallem insisted that the Arab initiative was a full package that "cannot be divided." Arab foreign ministers on Sunday urged Lebanon's feuding factions to resolve their political crisis and elect a new president to fill a post that has been empty for two months. The ministers urged all sides in the dispute to vote for army commander Gen. Michel Suleiman in a new parliamentary session set for February 11, the 13th attempt to choose a president. Beirut, 31 Jan 08, 12:58 Beirut, 31 Jan 08, 08:34

Winograd Report on 2006 War Faults Israeli Army, Spares Olmert
An official investigation into Israel's widely criticized war in Lebanon found "serious failings and flaws" by the country's political and military leaders, but concluded Prime Minister Ehud Olmert acted in what he thought was Israel's best interests.The highly anticipated report, issued after a 16-month investigation, stopped short of holding Olmert personally responsible for the war's failures, giving him a small boost as he moves forward with peace talks with the Palestinians.
A harsh indictment could have threatened his government and his stated goal of reaching a peace agreement this year. Aides to the Israeli leader acknowledged they were relieved. Eliyahu Winograd, the retired judge who led the investigation, told a packed news conference in Jerusalem that Israel did not win the war and the army did not provide an effective response to Hizbullah's rocket fire on Israel. "The overall image of the war was a result of a mixture of flawed conduct of the political and military leadership ... of flawed performance by the military, especially the ground forces, and of deficient Israeli preparedness," Winograd said. "We found serious failings and flaws in the lack of strategic thinking and planning."
Winograd said the committee had decided not to assign personal blame for the war's shortcomings, preferring instead to search for ways to prevent similar mistakes in the future. "It should be stressed that the fact we refrained from imposing personal responsibility does not imply that no such responsibility exists," he said.
He also said a last-minute ground offensive in Lebanon "failed" in its mission, did not improve Israel's position and that the army was not prepared for it.
More than 30 Israeli soldiers were killed in that offensive, launched shortly before a U.N.-brokered truce went into effect.
Olmert had come under severe criticism for ordering the battle, despite his contention that the offensive improved Israel's position before the cease-fire.
Winograd said the goals of the operation were legitimate. "There was no failure in that decision in itself, despite its limited achievements and its painful costs." He said both Olmert and his defense minister at the time, Amir Peretz, acted in "what they thought at the time was Israel's interest."
Officials in Olmert's said they were optimistic after a preliminary glimpse of the 629-page report. Olmert's spokesman, Jacob Galanty, was quoted by Israel TV as saying the prime minister's office was "breathing a sigh of relief."
The war erupted on July 12, 2006, when Hizbullah fighters crossed into Israel, killing three Israeli soldiers and capturing two others.
Olmert entered the war with wall-to-wall support from the Israeli public, but his popularity plunged after the campaign failed to achieve his two declared goals -- winning the soldiers' release and crushing Hizbullah.
Despite a heavy Israeli aerial campaign, Hizbullah rained nearly 4,000 rockets on northern Israel. Israeli reservists returning from the battlefield complained of poor training and a lack of ammunition and key supplies.The war killed 1,200 Lebanese, mainly civilians, and 150 Israelis, mostly soldiers.
Since most of the army's wartime commanders, including the chief of staff and defense minister at the time, have already resigned, the bigger mystery was how Olmert would fare. A harsh interim report released in April by the panel accused Olmert of "severe failures" and hasty decisions at the beginning of the war. Wednesday's report dealt with the war's final 28 days.(AP) Beirut, 30 Jan 08, 21:41

Facts and Figures from Inquiry Into 2006 Lebanon War
The government-appointed Winograd Commission on Wednesday issued a critical report about Israel's conduct of the 2006 Israel-Lebanon war. Here are some facts and figures about the war inquiry:
-- The commission was appointed on Sept. 17, 2006. On Apr. 30, 2007, it submitted an interim report that harshly criticized Israel's political and military leadership during the war.
-- Over the course of more than 16 months, the commission heard 74 witnesses whose testimonies were transcribed onto more than 4,000 pages. Some transcriptions were not published due to the sensitive nature of the contents. The final report is more than 500 pages long.
-- The commission said it reviewed between 60,000 and 100,000 pages of information, with varied degrees of confidentiality, on the 34-day war between Israel and the Lebanese Hezbollah guerillas.
-- The publication of the report comes exactly 33 years to the day after the Agranat Commission report into the 1973 Mideast war published its findings. That report brought to the downfall of Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir's government.(AP) eirut, 30 Jan 08, 22:29

Hizbullah Reiterates Victory after Winograd Report
Hizbullah on Wednesday claimed victory over Israel, saying the Jewish State suffered a blistering defeat at its hands during the 2006 war after a critical Israeli report widely criticized the conflict. "The report confirms what Hizbullah was saying all along: Israel failed completely in achieving its goals and the Israeli army suffered a military defeat at the hands of Hizbullah," spokesman Hussein Rahal told AFP.
"Lebanon managed, despite all its losses, to come out victorious and defeat Israel," he added. "Israel took the decision to launch this war, not Lebanon."
Hizbullah MP Hassan Fadlallah echoed that, telling AFP the report "confirms that the Israeli war did not achieve any of its political or military goals against the resistance (Hizbullah)." Fadlallah also claimed that the Winograd report "left out secret passages for reasons of national security."
"These secret passages probably hide a lot of political scandals concerning the Arab region and the international community," he said without further elaboration.
"The day will come when these secret passages will be published and the world will then discover who was in league with the Israeli enemy," Fadlallah added.
The 34-day war was launched after Hizbullah captured two Israeli soldiers in a deadly cross-border raid on July 12.(AFP) Beirut, 30 Jan 08, 22:07

Initial Testimony: Gunshots Came from Shiyah
Initial testimony about Sunday's deadly riots in Beirut showed that the Lebanese army officer who was in charge of the Mar Mikhael post where protests originally broke out was a Shiite Muslim and that the building where the shooting occurred lies in the Shiyah district.
The report carried by the daily An Nahar on Wednesday said there was no need for additional military back up at the beginning when the protest was still restricted to a small activity by a group of young men who blocked the road opposite the army post with burning tires.
It said troops manning the position informed the protestors that they were going to remove the tires and reopen the road.
But the protestors responded by tossing stones and sticks at soldiers, wounding one of them, according to the report. It said other rioters, meanwhile, tried to unarm a trooper and attempted to climb on top of an armored vehicle. The army then fired warning shots in the air to disperse the protestors, the report added. It said it was at that point that shooting came from the neighboring Shiyah district where army vehicles received several bullet riddles, prompting troops to fire back.
Several people were wounded in the shooting, the report said. It said the building where the shooting occurred is located in Shiyah and not at Ein el-Rummaneh where it was originally thought. Meanwhile, the pro-opposition al-Akhbar newspaper said Hizbullah and Amal movement were waiting for the results of the investigation into Sunday's riots before announcing their stance regarding their support for consensus presidential candidate army commander Gen. Michel Suleiman.
The paper said Hizbullah and Amal would convey their stand to Arab League chief Amr Moussa, who is expected to return to Beirut soon to resume efforts to implement an Arab plan aimed at ending the prolonged political crisis. Moussa has warned that "if blood spills over into the streets, chaos will prevail and there will be different positions and many forces will interfere." The Arab League chief put particular blame for the crisis on pro-Syrian groups in Lebanon, saying they intentionally held up the elections with new demands. Moussa also warned that an Arab leadership summit scheduled for March 28 in Damascus might be put off if the Lebanese crisis remained unresolved. Military police have begun investigations into Sunday's incidents that left eight people killed in violent riots in Beirut's southern suburbs. The protests which began in Mar Mikhael at 4 pm Sunday quickly spread to reach other areas of Beirut. A security source said outcome of the investigation will be formally announced "so that measures against the military institution as well as against those proven to be involved in beyond-limit acts can be taken." Twenty-three suspects were also being interrogated by the army in connection with Sunday's unrest. Beirut, 30 Jan 08, 09:14

Arabs Urged to Confront Iran in Iraq, Palestine and Lebanon
Columnist Raghida Dargham on Friday urged Arabs to actively counter Iran's mounting influence in Iraq, Palestine and Lebanon.
Dargham's column was published by the pan-Arab daily al-Hayat under the headline: "A chance for an Arab role to regain the missing balance in the region."
"If the missing balance persisted, it would lead to Iraq's collapse," Dargham wrote. "It is the Arabs' duty to have an immediate, direct and effective role capable of … safeguarding Iraq's independence by achieving balance in Iraq's politics," she wrote. "The Tehran and Maliki governments do not want an effective Arab role in Iraq," she noted. She wrote that setting the Israeli-Arab conflict is "not possible as long as Iran has such a strong regional power."
The problem in Iraq, according to Dargham, is "not only the future of the American role, but also the future of the Iranian role. Safeguarding Iraq's future requires a balanced regional environment and Arabs should remain a party to it.""Iran trains, finances and supports militias in Iraq, Lebanon and Palestine without admitting it … not with the aim of starting a thorough war. "War requires a strategic decision, but battles resulting from backing Hizbullah against the state of Lebanon, Hamas against the Palestinian Authority and the Shiite militias in Iraq against balanced rule are tactical battles, the victims of which are Arabs and not Iranians," she noted.
She concluded by urging the Arabs to adopt the "surprising decision of immediately engaging all these issues with an active strategy. Beirut, 01 Feb 08, 14:28

Syria's Conditions Exceed Demands by Its Lebanese Allies
Syrian officials have informed Arab League Secretary General Amr Moussa of conditions to facilitate a settlement to the Lebanese crisis that exceed political demands expressed by their Lebanese allies, an-Nahar's Rosana Boumounsef wrote Friday. In light of such conditions, according to Boumounsef, a settlement to the ongoing crisis appears "impossible." She did not disclose the nature of the reported Syrian conditions, however. The international community has given the Arabs a chance to play a role aimed at putting an end to Lebanon's crisis after its failure to impose "smart sanctions" on Syria for blocking a settlement in Lebanon. Such smart sanctions, designed to target "specific persons and their families," have been rejected by the Arabs who called for postponing them pending success of their efforts to work out a settlement, the article explained. However, Arab efforts have failed, so far, in working out a settlement, which sheds light on Syria's ability to manipulate the Lebanese situation, she concluded. Beirut, 01 Feb 08, 13:11

The General's Media and Messages
Hassan Haydar
Al Hayat - 31/01/08//
Last Sunday's painful events in Southern Beirut may have plunged many political parties into confusion, loss and embarrassment. But the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) led by former General Michel Aoun and its visual and print media stood as a blatant example of political Machiavellism, which justifies the means no matter how unjust and flagrant they are so long as they serve long-awaited imperiled ends.
The citizens tuning in to the Orange Television or surfing the Movement's website Sunday night could not miss the blatant provocation against the residents of the very neighborhood the General claims to represent. The General's site volunteered photographs of alleged 'snipers' on rooftops, confirming in news flashes that the shots fired at protestors came from positions behind the army's. i.e. from Ain Al Remmaneh and that the arrested Lebanese Forces members were armed.
Even though these trumped-up facts did not withstand the truth that the army divulged the following day and was totally overlooked by Hizbullah and Amal - the very groups directly involved in the events - they provided moral cover for a group of young men - some armed - who crossed the 'demarcation line' into Ain Al Remmaneh, where they destroyed cars, attacked houses and injured residents. Had the army not interfered to stop them, things would have escalated beyond control.
A mere two days later, the same television described, in its news report, the presidential candidate Commander Gen. Michel Sleiman as "a presidential casualty in a critical situation." Herein lies the essence of the matter.
General Aoun, who - possibly influenced by his Khomeinist allies - swallowed the bitter poison of General Sleiman for the presidency and reluctantly made unconvincing statements claiming he was the first to nominate him before the majority belatedly bowed to his desire, ascertains on every possible occasion that he remains a 'ready' candidate and as such, will nominate himself again should consensus on Sleiman's candidacy fade away. Last Sunday presented him with a dubious opportunity he sought to take advantage of by all means and with every possible "weapon" at hand. Although the sniping accusations leveled against the Lebanese Forces could be seen as exculpating the army, they were meant to imply that the army, in league with the Lebanese Forces and as thus considered a biased party to the conflict, was not worthy of the 'dream post.'
Aoun did not shrink from using the troubles that befell the followers of his Shiite ally to lash out against the candidate whom the Lebanese and Arabs have unanimously endorsed - if only in appearance by some. Nor did he hesitate to sacrifice the security of peaceful civilians who have no wish to be set back thirty years to the days of the civil war if this would help push aside a contender for the seat in Baabda. He did not even spare the army to whom he constantly declares affiliation (or perhaps he meant the army's affiliation to him).
As the army undertook to conduct a speedy and transparent investigation into Sunday's events and to punish all the responsible parties, Aoun wasted no time in issuing a statement urging citizens to "turn a blind eye to the rumors spread by some media … and aimed at instigating strife." Would the retired General start calling himself and his own media to account?
http://english.daralhayat.com/opinion/OPED/01-2008/Article-20080131-d07363ee-c0a8-10ed-01dd-6f82953f51d3/story.html
 

An initiative on the brink
Dina Ezzat
Al-Ahram Weekly- 1/2/08
http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2008/882/re33.htm
Arab League Secretary-General Amr Moussa has made no announcement -- and maybe no plans -- as to when he is going to Beirut for yet another round of mediation to help conflicting Lebanese political factions select their president, form a new government and draft a new legislative election law in a manner that will accommodate the conflicting political views.
On Sunday, in the wake of a Lebanon focussed extraordinary meeting of Arab foreign ministers at the Cairo headquarters of the Arab League, Moussa seemed unsure of his next step.
At this point it seems that it is all but useless for Moussa to return to Beirut for another round of shuttle diplomacy. The ingredients for agreement among the parties are still lacking, the secretary- general recognised in a press conference following the ministerial meeting. However, Moussa, as he seemed to acknowledge during the press conference, cannot afford to abandon the Lebanese mediation at a time where violent confrontations are hitting Lebanon.
The Arab League secretary-general had just spent five days in Lebanon trying to promote an agreement based on the text of an Arab initiative drafted in Cairo earlier this month with the consent of the foreign ministers of Syria, Saudi Arabia and Egypt the key Arab countries with direct involvement in the Lebanese file. Moussa was unsuccessful.
A disagreement between the political majority camp, chaired by Lebanese Prime Minister Fouad Al-Siniora, and the opposition, chaired by the widely popular and influential Shia resistance group Hizbullah over the exact interpretation of the text in relation to the share of the cabinet seats each camp is entitled to blocked agreement.
In the eyes of the opposition, Moussa's reading of the text -- which seemed to exclude equal shares for each camp -- was a clear sign of bias towards the majority, supported not just by Egypt and Saudi Arabia but also by key Western players, including the US and France in face of the opposition supported by Syria and Iran.
According to the opposition press statements, neither Moussa nor the ministerial meeting that convened on Sunday managed to offer a clear explanation of the text that it finds "ambiguous". And according to the majority camp, it is out of the question that it would agree to equal shares or that it would allow the opposition one third plus one share of the cabinet seats on the basis that this hijacks the ability of the government to administer state affairs.
Worse, the deliberations conducted on Sunday during and on the fringe of the ministerial meeting show that text of the Arab initiative which was projected as a breakthrough of Arab reconciliation does not mean one and the same thing for those who drafted it.
Informed sources say that judging by the exchanges between Syrian Foreign Minister Walid Al-Moallem and his Egyptian and Saudi counterparts Ahmed Abul-Gheit and Saud Al-Faissal, the disagreement on government shares is bound to block the overdue election of the Lebanese Army Chief Michel Suleiman as president of Lebanon.
"The longer the vacancy at the seat of the president in Lebanon, the graver the threats are for Lebanese security. This is something that [almost all] members of the foreign ministers meeting agreed upon," said Al-Taiyb Louh, head of the Algerian delegation to the ministerial meeting who co-chaired the session with Moussa.
Sources say that firm Syrian opposition blocked a proposal jointly made by Egypt and Saudi Arabia, with the consent of Moussa, to include a communiqué issued by the Sunday ministerial meeting "demanding that the Lebanese parliament convene on 11 February", the date suggested by Speaker of the Lebanese Parliament Nabih Berri in the opposition camp to elect Suleiman and end a close to three-month vacancy at the presidential seat.
"But there is a tentative agreement that Al-Moallem is taking back to Damascus that this date is crucial," commented one Arab delegate who took part in the meeting.
If this date is missed, Moussa all but warned at the Sunday press conference, Arab countries will have to take a new and clear position.
Syrian officials in Cairo acknowledge the "firm interest" that the Saudis and Egyptians showed in the selection of Suleiman by 11 February but they say that "no dates are sacred". What is sacred, they argue, "is for Moussa to strike a fair deal that accommodates the concerns of both parties on the basis of a written set of guarantees."
The mere fact that Moussa is insisting on a deadline for the selection of the Lebanese president and that he is sending direct and indirect messages to the concerned political Lebanese players suggesting that he is "not going to be used to prolong an endless tug of war" is already exerting some pressure.
The question, however, is whether or not such pressure is necessarily conducive to a settlement or rather leading to the failure of the so-called Arab initiative?
Syrian diplomats say that Damascus is not going to twist the arm of the Lebanese opposition to agree on a deal that it finds unsatisfactory. They even insist that Damascus is not in position to do this even if it wanted to. They add that Cairo and Riyadh need to encourage the majority to show flexibility. But this has already been pushed to the limit, according to sympathetic Arab sources.
"This is the main problem. The mood for a reconciliatory agreement is still lacking in Lebanon," commented Moussa.
According to a report that Moussa presented to the Arab foreign ministers regarding his five-day mission in Lebanon earlier in the month, the majority camp was more open during the talks he held in Beirut. While Moussa made only an implicit recognition of the flexibility of the Lebanese majority camp, he is now viewed in a negative light by some of the leading opposition figures. As such, it is useless for Moussa to go back to Lebanon unless a new political dynamism is created.
Qatari Foreign Minister Hamad Ben Jassim promised to use his good relations with Damascus to encourage more Syrian support for flexibility by the Lebanese opposition. For his part, the Omani Foreign Minister Youssef Ben Alawi has also offered to intervene to start a serious effort to mediate a long rift between the Saudi Monarch King Abdullah and Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad.
Many Arab diplomats say that for the Lebanese crisis to be resolved there has to be an end to this Syrian-Saudi rift, blamed primarily on Assad's open criticism of Abdullah and other Arab leaders and on the alleged involvement of Syria in wrecking Lebanon's fragile inner peace with the assassination of Lebanese leader Rafik Al-Hariri in February 2005.
The Saudi monarch and other top Arab leaders have indicated reluctance to attend a regular annual Arab summit scheduled to be held and chaired by Syria in March should the Lebanese crisis defy a resolution, especially in relation to the election of a president.
Syria has indicated interest to avoid another wave of tension in its Arab relations but has yet to show it will go the extra mile to rescue the Damascus Summit either from cancellation or under- representation of Arab leaders.
"It is certainly in the interest of Lebanon to see a Syria-Saudi reconciliation at least started. But this is not really the full answer," commented an informed Arab diplomat. The answer, he argued, is in the ability of Moussa to bring about not just a Syria-Saudi rapport but also to induce confidence between majority and opposition leaders in Lebanon so that each side would not be skeptical that the other is planning to hijack Lebanon either as a hostage of the US Middle East plans or of Iran-Syria regional conflicts. So far, Moussa has given no indication that this is a mission that he could deliver on.
© Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly. All rights reserved

Beirut's 'Bloody Sunday'
By: Lucy Fielder
Al-Ahram Weekly - 1/2/08
http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2008/882/re32.htm
The killing of demonstrators in Beirut has thrown the army chief's presidential candidacy into question. Lucy Fielder reports from Beirut
Two violent incidents jolted Lebanon from numbing political paralysis this week and raised the ghosts of the past -- some from last year and others from the more distant days of the civil war. Punctuating a two-month-old vacuum at the presidential palace and an enduring standoff between the Western-backed government and its Hizbullah-led opponents, the bombing and shooting of protesters pushed Lebanon perilously close to the brink of chaos.
On Friday, a powerful car bomb beneath a flyover sent a wall of fire through rush-hour traffic in eastern Beirut, killing top police investigator Wisam Eid and at least three other people. Its timing showed a chilling disregard for civilian life even compared to most of the other 30-odd attacks and assassinations that have blighted Lebanon's past three years.
Just two days later, Beirut was shaken by events named "Bloody Sunday" by some observers. It started with a string of protests against the capital's daily, debilitating power cuts. Youths blocked roads with burning tyres in Chiah, an area dominated by the Shia Amal opposition group at the start of the southern suburbs. The army stepped in and chaos ensued. Then the shooting started and by evening eight lay dead and at least 20 injured, mostly by bullet wounds. One of the dead was hit by a car in the protests and a ninth man died of gunshot wounds on Tuesday.
But who was firing? Television footage showed soldiers sheltering behind military vans and pointing and firing at rooftops, apparently responding to snipers obscured by the darkness. Others showed pictures of what appeared to be gunmen in civilian clothes on overlooking roofs. Isolated rifle shots could be heard, as opposed to the automatic rounds of the army.
But televised accounts of witnesses among the protesters and statements by the opposition divide blame between the soldiers, who could be seen beating and kicking some protesters live on air and snipers in nearby areas. Chiah and the junction on which the Mar Mikhael Church stands border on the predominantly Christian area of Ain Al-Roumaneh, where Christians attacked a busload of Palestinians in 1975 in the incident that sparked the 15-year Civil War. Lebanese media reported the arrest of several Lebanese Forces members in connection with the sniper fire. Al-Akhbar quoted security sources as saying a supporter of the right- wing Christian Lebanese Forces had been arrested with a gun fitted with a scope and a magazine empty but for one bullet, and that he had been in a location overlooking the confrontation. The police had not confirmed these reports at the time of writing. Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea denied the reports, saying several LF members were rounded up along with scores of protesters for possessing guns without a license.
Hizbullah officials have suggested they already know who is responsible for the killings. "The army and judiciary are launching a joint investigation into the fire," an army source said. Prime Minister Fouad Al-Siniora described the eight protesters who died as "martyrs of all the nation" and declared an official day of mourning.
Whatever the truth of Sunday's fateful events, analysts said it must be uncovered promptly if disaster is to be averted. Exactly this time last year, sectarian strife reared its head in two days of sectarian street-fighting. On the second, at the Beirut Arab University, snipers were also reported, but the culprits were never found and many felt the issue was dropped in the name of civil peace. The pro-opposition daily Al-Akhbar said the opposition has made clear this time it must be different. Army chief and official presidential candidate General Michel Suleiman visited Amal leader and speaker of parliament Nabih Berri and Hizbullah leader Hassan Nasrallah in the days after the incident; both demanded a prompt and thorough investigation. Amnesty International demanded an independent investigation, given the army's role as a "possible source of lethal gunfire".
It is unclear where any of this leaves Suleiman's bid for the presidency, until now in principle backed by both sides, unlike the distribution of seats in the subsequent new government. Unless the Shia, the largest of Lebanon's many sects, are satisfied that the army is holding a serious investigation, it seems the long slog to find a head of state agreeable to both sides must start afresh. Hizbullah has long viewed the army as an ally and it is generally praised as a non-sectarian institution, with many Shia in its ranks. Sateh Noureddine wrote in the leftist daily As-Safir that Suleiman was no longer acceptable to the opposition, since the army no longer enjoyed its confidence. "This is the most prominent signal that civil war is now inevitable," he wrote.
Omar Nashabe, a leading criminologist and justice editor for Al-Akhbar, said there was pressure for genuine accountability from grassroots level as well. "I don't know to what extent the Hizbullah and Amal leaders can control their own streets when you have this many people shot at."
Nashabe said he had the impression the army had understood there could be no whitewash. "They realise it and they're making a real effort. I think the investigation will come up with results. If not then we're heading into a deteriorating situation."
The government reaction to the unrest, which focused largely on criticism of the method of protest, had criminalised the victims, Nashabe believed. A Hariri statement, while expressing condolences, said citizens must not use protests over living conditions as an excuse to "confront the army". Geagea said the protests were not "impulsive and unplanned" and that the events that led to the deaths were "not innocent", even if the protesters were.
Even if the demonstrators were violating the law, nothing justifies shooting at them. Because of Lebanon's polarisation between the two camps any protest against deteriorating living conditions in the country, including inflation and the power cuts, has tended to be portrayed as against the ruling team.
"Prime Minister Siniora is acting as if half the population is his enemy, as if the Shia community is his enemy," said Nashabe. Government money has poured into policing and intelligence but not the antiquated judiciary, he added, hampering the need for accountable, effective investigations.
The most high-profile victim of Friday's bombing, Eid, 31, headed the technical department of a police intelligence unit close to Sunni parliamentary majority leader Saad Al-Hariri, established after the latter's five-time premier father was assassinated in 2005. Most analysts believed Eid knew too much for his assassins' liking.
Eid's unit worked with a UN-led investigation into Rafik Al-Hariri's killing and the chain of subsequent attacks, many of which have targeted anti- Syrian politicians and journalists. Security analysts suggested an alternative possible link between Eid's killing and an investigation into the Fatah Al-Islam militant group that fought the army last summer in the northern Nahr Al-Bared refugee camp. Army chief of operations François Al-Hajj, victim of the last assassination in December, coordinated the Nahr Al-Bared battle.
© Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly. All rights reserved

Moussa and the Eyes of the "Apparatuses"
Zuheir Kseibati

Al Hayat - 31/01/08//
http://english.daralhayat.com/opinion/OPED/01-2008/Article-20080131-d07ab393-c0a8-10ed-01dd-6f82f3db8891/story.html
Before launching his second attempt in Beirut as part of his effort to convince both parties to the conflict in Lebanon to start implementing the provisions of the Arab initiative, the Arab League Secretary General Amr Moussa opted to send a second message to whoever is interested in saving the country from collapse and disintegration. This certainly is a message warning that the worse is yet to come, especially after the bloody events of Sunday. As these events showed, it was the Lebanese alone who paid the price in terms of more martyrs, more wounds to the body of national unity, and intolerable pessimistic digging into the memories of the past.
Obviously, the Secretary General, who is entrusted with Arabizing the solution for the Lebanese and other parties, had no intention to stir panic, while the outcomes of Sunday events still engulf the crisis in a manner that leaves no room for building trust, defusing tension, reviving the disrupted dialogue, or subduing the devils of details.
Moussa's first warning about a potential internationalization should the Arab initiative fail was perceived to be no more than an attempt to impose pressure on the majority and the opposition in Lebanon in the hope of pushing them to implement the first provision of the initiative, that is, electing army commander Michel Sleiman as president. However, his admission yesterday to being helpless in "preventing international apparatuses from dealing with the Lebanese situation if things fall apart" goes far beyond the exercise of semantic pressures on domestic players. Although Moussa's words certainly do not encourage foreign intervention under any pretext of internationalization, it is now clear that none of the Lebanese players has the ability to anticipate the nature of this internationalization, which will likely exceed the mere possibility of just another Security Council resolution.
On the opposite end, if the Arab League initiative collapses, this will mean neither Arabization nor internationalization. Consequently, Lebanon will turn into an open field amidst the failure of the majority and the opposition to agree on a homegrown Lebanese solution. This will ultimately mean that the vacuum in Lebanon will have to be filled, leaving the Lebanese with nothing less than the nightmare of war or more civil wars. At best, the country and its entity will fall prey to despair and disintegration.
Meanwhile, Moussa's optimism about a "good" opportunity for the progress of the Arab solution is limited by the crises of what he refers to as the Arab and regional situation which may be replaced with some form of "normalization" in Arab-Arab relations and the calming down of the regional conflict to a point that may "neutralize" the Arab solution for Lebanon before the patterns of collapse wipe out all of Lebanon's institutions. The Secretary General is aware that literary meaning of "neutralization" is not absolute. For example, given Iran's influence, its approval of Arabization requires the opposition's acceptance of the Arab League's initiative as the last way out.
It is now clear that the prices paid in the bloody events of Sunday, especially the lives lost regardless of their affiliation, have made the path of the initiative even bumpier at a time when the outcomes of these events make Arabization more pressing. They have also shaken the confidence in the army's capacity to manage security until a solution emerges. Consequently, they make the army appear helpless despite its victory in the battle of Nahr Al-Bared Camp and its resilience in the face of all sorts of security tensions and pressures since the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri.
If the objective is to undermine the chances of General Michel Sleiman as a consensus president which implies choking the Arab solution before its implementation, even though Sleiman extends his hand to all in the hope of saving the republic by reviving the dialogue, then whoever is sabotaging the initiative and this consensus will not give in easily to Moussa's good intentions or to the desire of the majority and the opposition to avoid the abyss.
Just as the devil lies in the details, it may also lurk behind what could be fifth and sixth columns which like everything else in Lebanon and as the Sunday's painful events showed, cannot be unmasked or avoided as another cause of division.
It is true that all sides in Lebanon were united in grieving the fallen martyrs on Sunday, but the real lesson lies in having everyone convinced that utopian solutions do not fit in the dictionary of real politics and that the "no victor, no vanquished" equation is incompatible with the breeding of obsessions every time the fire of crisis dies out.
It is not too late to listen to the warnings about the winds of internationalization that may be no less costly than regional storms. The eyes of "apparatuses" are open…and the wind gusts have not changed: cold as in Walid Jumblat's call for a halfway solution along with an inevitable normalization with Damascus; and hot as in Ahmedinejad's return to invoking the West's anger at Iran every time he provokes Israel for a threatening response.
Where will the battlefield be if the Lebanese waste the opportunity of an Arabized solution?