LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
March 29/08

Bible Reading of the day.
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint John 21,1-14. After this, Jesus revealed himself again to his disciples at the Sea of Tiberias. He revealed himself in this way. Together were Simon Peter, Thomas called Didymus, Nathanael from Cana in Galilee, Zebedee's sons, and two others of his disciples. Simon Peter said to them, "I am going fishing." They said to him, "We also will come with you." So they went out and got into the boat, but that night they caught nothing. When it was already dawn, Jesus was standing on the shore; but the disciples did not realize that it was Jesus. Jesus said to them, "Children, have you caught anything to eat?" They answered him, "No." So he said to them, "Cast the net over the right side of the boat and you will find something." So they cast it, and were not able to pull it in because of the number of fish. So the disciple whom Jesus loved said to Peter, "It is the Lord." When Simon Peter heard that it was the Lord, he tucked in his garment, for he was lightly clad, and jumped into the sea. The other disciples came in the boat, for they were not far from shore, only about a hundred yards, dragging the net with the fish. When they climbed out on shore, they saw a charcoal fire with fish on it and bread. Jesus said to them, "Bring some of the fish you just caught." So Simon Peter went over and dragged the net ashore full of one hundred fifty-three large fish. Even though there were so many, the net was not torn. Jesus said to them, "Come, have breakfast." And none of the disciples dared to ask him, "Who are you?" because they realized it was the Lord. Jesus came over and took the bread and gave it to them, and in like manner the fish. This was now the third time Jesus was revealed to his disciples after being raised from the dead.

Free Opinions, Releases, letters & Special Reports
No leader to send- By: Lucy Fielder - Al-Ahram Weekly. 28/03/08
Summit stakes-Al-
By: Gamil Mattar-Ahram Weekly.28/03/08
The invisible guests of Syria- By: Ayman El-Amir-Al-Ahram Weekly, 28/03/08
Same as it ever was. By: Dina Ezzat -
Al-Ahram Weekly,28/03/08
Hezbollah between the Summit and Custody. By: Hassan Haider-Dar Al-Hayat,28/03/08

Open letter from Lawson Kass Hanna to Bishop Boulos Matar 27/03/08
Lebanon's 'leaders' could learn a thing or two from the UAE's.The Daily Star. 28/03/08

Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for March 28/08
Dimona within range of Hezbollah missiles-PRESS TV
Lebanon Publishes New Evidence of Ties Between Syria and Fath Al-Islam-Rright Side News
Syria: Israel does not genuinely want peace-Jerusalem Post

March 14 coalition calls for Arab countries to put more pressure on Syria at summit-Daily Star
Maliki defiant as Shiite revolt spreads-AFP
Moallem says Saudis should lean on Lebanese allies to accept compromise-AFP
Moallem says Saudis should lean on Lebanese allies to accept compromise-AFP
Media office of Sayyed calls for arrest of Taha-Daily Star
Hizbullah denies Israeli claims of drug trafficking-Daily Star
UN Security Council welcomes report of progress on Lebanon tribunal-Xinhua - China
Stabilize Ain al-Hilweh to help Lebanon - Hamas envoy-Daily Star
Religious tensions trickle into Lebanon's schools-Daily Star
Lebanon's 'leaders' could learn a thing or two from the UAE's-Daily Star
No comfort for Lebanon at Arab summit-BBC News
Syria calls on Saudi Arabia to help on Lebanon-Reuters
Fadlallah urges blameless solution-Daily Star
Stabilize Ain al-Hilweh to help Lebanon - Hamas envoy-Daily Star
Civil society groups hold conference to unify efforts on behalf of children-Daily Star
UNIFIL beefs up patrols after Israeli incursion-Daily Star
How to free up freedom of expression-Daily Star
Religious tensions trickle into Lebanon's schools
Moody's notches up outlook for Lebanese banks-Daily Star
Importing human rights to the Hariri court's process-By Muhamad Mugraby
Aoun, Maronite archbishop find common ground-Daily Star
US sets aside $5 million for civil groups in Lebanon-Daily Star
Lebanese warrant issued for Syrian accused of threatening local journalist-Daily Star
Muallem: Syria is First Sufferer of Lebanon Crisis-Naharnet
Muallem: Lebanon Lost Golden Chances by Boycotting The Summit
-Naharnet
Hizbullah's New Iranian Rockets can Hit Anywhere in Israel, Officials
-Naharnet
Sarkozy to Syria: Lebanon is a Free Country-Naharnet
Defense officials: Hizbullah has rockets that can reach Dimona-Jerusalem Post
Regional heavyweights snub Syria's first Arab summit-Africasia
Jewish groups placed on security alert-Jewish Telegraphic Agency
Officials: Hezbollah Smuggles Drugs Into Israel-Evening Bulletin
Eulogy MPs grilled, bailed … put on travel ban-Arab Times
Lebanon Seeks Husam's Arrest
-Naharnet
Damascus Summit Sheds Spotlight on Arab Split
-Naharnet
Syrian Dailies Hail Summit a Success Away from U.S. Influence
-Naharnet
Sarkozy to Syria: Lebanon is a Free Country
-Naharnet
Aoun Launches Vehement Attack against U.S. Policy, Saniora Government
-Naharnet
Washington Relieved Over Snub of Arab Summit
-Naharnet
Moussa Regrets Lebanon's Boycott of Arab Summit
-Naharnet
UNIFIL, Lebanese Army Carry Out War Games
-Naharnet
Saniora to Address the Arab Summit and the World
-Naharnet
 

Hezbollah between the Summit and "Custody"
Hassan Haidar
Al Hayat - 27/03/08//
Hezbollah exchanges "favors" with Syria and Iran. As both regimes arm and finance it, Hezbollah executes their strategy and harmonizes its positions with their current tactics. When one of its senior commanders, with strong ties to Tehran, is assassinated in the heart of Damascus, Hezbollah raises its voice with threats of an open war, and later suddenly switches to appeasement and reassurance when Damascus wishes to keep the Lebanese issue quiet as the date of the Arab Summit, which it is hosting, draws near.
When Damascus considers Lebanon's crisis and presidential vacuum just another bullet-point on the summit's agenda - while it is in practice the dominant issue, which prompted the two most prominent Arab countries to lower their level of representation and prodded Lebanon, a founding member of the Arab League, to boycott the summit in an unprecedented move - its Lebanese ally shifts to a language of "reconciliation" on the internal front and rushes to announce its passionate desire for political settlement, firmly certifying what Syria likes to hear, namely that Israel will soon cease to exist. The evidence supporting this claim consists of statistics and studies which were used by Hezbollah's Secretary-General in his latest speech, two days ago.
But what is the purpose of certifying the "capability to overthrow the Zionist regime"? A clear indication comes from the recent attempts by Syrian, Algerian and Yemeni delegations, during the summit's preliminary meetings, to ratify a motion to withdraw the Arab Peace Initiative, which was sanctioned during the Beirut Summit of 2002, considering that it could not remain "on offer" indefinitely.
Will the initiative be subjected to further attacks during the summit itself? In clearer words, will the coup be completed? That coup which began with Hariri's assassination and the disruption of Lebanon's equilibrium, followed by the July 2006 war and subsequent occupation of Downtown Beirut, and persisted as Hamas took control of the Gaza Strip and Iran repeats the same theory of the coming end of Israel every time it seeks to confront Arab political discourse in its own home.
The Lebanese have discovered, in Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's latest speech, that they have unknowingly given him "custody" of the mission of "working to overthrow the Zionist regime." Indeed, he stated in his speech that the majority of them had responded positively to a question to that effect, according to a study by an unknown research institution, whose "conclusive" results clearly show that the Lebanese of all sects have "unanimously" agreed on the validity of such an option and the necessity of pursuing it.
And when Nasrallah considered that this was not a Lebanese mission, what he meant was that he wouldn't do it by himself, but rather in the context of a wider alliance, extending from Tehran to Damascus and Beirut, reaching into Gaza.
Hezbollah has therefore replaced the consent of the actual majority, which came out on February 14th and demanded it to cease its regional outbidding and adhere to Lebanese sovereignty, with that of a paper majority, and accepted "custody" on its behalf without even allowing for a margin of error.
Nasrallah did not fail to support the inclination revealed by his other ally, Nabih Berri, who intends to invite all Lebanese parties to another round of the National Roundtable Dialogue.
What a coincidence that his invitation would come at such a time, when the Lebanese, and the rest of the world, fear the outbreak of a new war, one that would be caused by the promises to avenge the assassination of Imad Mughniyyeh. The panic that such a prospect has caused among the Lebanese inhabitants of the South and the Beqaa has spread rumors of an anticipatory wave of migration. As if it was to remind the Lebanese that when the July war erupted, that very Roundtable Dialogue was in session, and that the next probable war may similarly require internal appeasement and a cover of dialogue

The invisible guests of Syria
By: Ayman El-Amir
© Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly
March 27/08
Crippled ahead of convening, the Arab summit in Damascus will be haunted by the confrontation between Iran and the US, writes Ayman El-Amir*
A few days before the Arab summit convenes in Damascus on 29 March, Arab countries are still squabbling over whether to participate or not, and at what level of representation. Some including Lebanon, are sitting it out. At issue is whether participation at the level of kings, presidents or heads of state would suggest or could be interpreted as dignifying the hardline policies of the summit's host, Syria, by the axis of "moderates" baptised as such by the US and Western powers. Habitual divisions have marked previous Arab summits and were usually papered over by a convenient consensus on generalities. What is significant at this year's summit is the invisible appearance of two officially uninvited guests: the United States and Iran. Their phantom presence will surely overshadow proceedings.
The presence of these two powers and their influence in the region is strongly felt, and their role in shaping Arab events is undeniable. Both are non-Arabs, both having vital interests in the region, and both are polarising in opposite directions. Arab countries are caught in this tug-of-war and their policies deeply reflect this diametrically opposed conflict of interests.
On the one hand, the US invaded Iraq and reduced it to rubble on the claim of creating democracy. Some of Iraq's Gulf Arab neighbours, particularly Kuwait, were not unhappy to see their archenemy, Saddam Hussein, toppled regardless of the horrifying consequences. From another perspective, Gulf Arab states are comfortable with the massive American military presence on their territories as a sure fire protection against potential enemies that may eye their golden egg -- the oil wealth. Given that the threat of Saddam is no longer a factor, the US had to invent another one to justify its military presence for the protection of US oil interests in countries it does not trust. Shia Iran, with its budding nuclear programme, became a convenient scarecrow. Since the US, like Israel, knows no way of protecting its interests other than by way of military domination or bending insecure allies to its willpower, the rise of Iran and Syrian resistance against US- Israeli policies are intolerable. They had to be defined as the axis of evil as opposed to the "axis of the meek" that, in their most audacious articulations, regard US domination as that of a benign dictator.
Syria and Iran are considered as lethal enemies because they support resistance to the Israeli occupation of Palestinian territories and a sliver of Lebanon. What the US wants from the summit is to maintain the status quo borne out of the Annapolis conference last November, to forestall any rapprochement with Iran, to make bland statements about the Darfur problem and Iraq, without reference to the US occupation, to freeze the stillborn Arab peace initiative, to confront Iran, not Israel, as the genuine threat to stability in the region, to cut Hamas down in favour of the "legitimacy" of Mahmoud Abbas, and to isolate Syria as a pretext to advancing a phony peace process.
On the other hand, Iran's growing influence over Gulf and Middle Eastern issues is a direct challenge to US and Israeli hegemony. Its support of the Palestinian people's struggle against the brutal Israeli occupation is unequivocal and its resistance to US-Israeli domination of the region is adamant. Iran, the fourth largest world oil producer, has a vital stake in the stability and security of the region, of which it is an integral part. Its interests are threatened by the US's destabilising invasion of Iraq, military presence in Gulf Arab states, and its blind support of Israeli terrorism against the Palestinians in the occupied territories. Iran and the Gulf Arab states have economic, political and cultural shared interests and common values more than they have with either the US or Israel. The US and Israel have worked hard to drum up fake Iranian threats to Gulf states and to fan the flames of Shia-Sunni conflict. This conflict was virtually unheard of until it was ignited in Iraq by the division plan of Paul Bremer, the first administrator of the US invasion.
Despite his slapdash political statements against Israel and the US, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad made the conciliatory gesture recently of paying an official, public visit to Iraq which, under the rule of Saddam Hussein and with US abetting, had fought his country for a decade resulting in nearly one million victims on both sides. His public visit was ludicrously imitated by US Republican presidential hopeful John McCain who, during a recent visit to Baghdad, dared to step out of the Green Zone, walk a heavily guarded, virtually evacuated Baghdad street and pose for a photo-op with a terrified Iraqi shop-keeper. In another friendly gesture, the Iranian president was invited to address the Arab Gulf Cooperation Council in December 2007 and was courteously welcomed in Doha. However, President Ahmadinejad is not likely be invited to the Arab summit lest such an invitation should rub the US the wrong way and give reason for "moderates" to boycott it. The US and Israel would be concerned at the prospect of any Arab-Iranian rapprochement that is not stage-managed by the US.
Preparations for the Arab summit have confronted a good number of hurdles, ranging from suggestions for postponement to floated ideas about changing Damascus as the venue. These and anticipated lower-than-expected levels of representation by some Arab countries could only be interpreted as a reflection of US pressure on some "moderate" allies to signal displeasure at Syria's reluctance to encourage settlement of the issue of the Lebanese presidency. Syria, no doubt, has vested interest in Lebanon, just like many other regional and foreign powers. That explains how key figures of Lebanon's parliamentary majority have been flocking back and forth to Washington, Paris and London seeking support against other competitive nationalist forces. This has been a time- honoured Lebanese political tradition. Since its independence, Lebanon has been a free playground for all sorts of interests, both Arab and non-Arab, including Israel. Its leaders had no hesitancy to invite foreign military intervention to prop them up against their opponents, as President Camille Chamoun did in 1958 when he pleaded with US President Dwight D Eisenhower to send the Sixth Fleet to rescue his regime. The 15-year-long Lebanese civil war provided a free-for-all battlefield and the Lebanese people paid a hefty price. However, Lebanon remains the exclusive concern of the Lebanese people and until they develop a strong enough consensus on that, to the exclusion of all external powers, the US and Israel will continue to shadowbox Syria and Iran on Lebanese territory and the people of Lebanon will continue to suffer.
In the heyday of shuttle diplomacy following the October 1973 war against the Israeli occupation of Sinai and the Golan Heights, former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger used to say, "There is no war without Egypt, and no peace without Syria." There is still a half-truth in that. Egypt opted out of the armed conflict 29 years ago and regained Sinai as part of a peace package. Now that Egypt has been militarily neutralised, Israel, backed by the US, is exercising full military options in the region against Lebanon and the Palestinian population in the occupied territories without having to worry about Egyptian or any other regional military intervention. Israel wanted peace with Egypt to get it out of the conflict and exercise military hegemony over the region. This remained the case for almost 25 years; that is, until the rise of Iran as a military power that could challenge the Israeli-dominated balance of power. While Israel has used every Nazi tactic under the sun to crush and liquidate the Palestinian population, all the Arabs have done has been to utter infrequent bleats to the US which they know full well is on the side of whatever Israel wants to do -- from building a racist wall of separation to constructing new settlements on Palestinian land. And they will keep hoping that the next administration will be more just to the Palestinians than all the previous administrations, starting with that of Harry S Truman in the mid-1940s.
The four-month-old Lebanese presidential vacuum will top the agenda of the summit because of the interests of the external powers involved. The internal Palestinian dispute and the confrontation with Israel will be marked, again, by some rhetorical statements and appeals to the US and the European Union, code-named "the international community". Few, if any, will remember last year's summit decision to set up and activate an "Arab Quartet" that would put the Palestinian problem and Israeli occupation on top of the agendas of international meetings. Conventional Arab wisdom that the issue will have to await the outcome of the US presidential elections will prevail. Then it will have to wait on yet another Israeli election. Israel has politely turned down Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's invitation for a follow-up conference in Moscow to the US- sponsored Annapolis conference last year. The two main Palestinian factions, Hamas and Fatah, who spent one week in negotiation in Sanaa to mend their rift, finally signed off on an agreement that the government of President Mahmoud Abbas soon repudiated, claiming that the leader of the Fatah delegation, Azzam Al-Ahmed, had no authority to sign it. It would seem that to President Abbas the confrontation with Hamas is more important than stemming the flow of Palestinian blood.
To top it all, US Vice-President Dick Cheney, the arch- architect of the war on Iraq, left the region after conferring with some key Arab allies to whom he made US priorities abundantly clear. His admonitions will not be lost on participants in the summit.
* The writer is former Al-Ahram correspondent in Washington, DC. He also served as director of United Nations Radio and Television in New York.

The Arab League's Hesham Youssef tells Dina Ezzat that the Damascus Arab summit will not differ greatly from summits of the past
By: Dina Ezzat
© Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly
March 27/08
The seat of the Lebanese permanent delegate was empty last Monday at the start of the preparatory meetings for the Arab League summit in Damascus
In the Syrian capital Damascus, Arab foreign ministers are meeting today to prepare for the annual convocation of the Arab summit on Saturday and Sunday. In theory, the ministerial meeting should revise the agenda of the summit and draft resolutions to be adopted by top-level attendees. This year, however, things are looking different.
The anticipated -- and in fact leaked -- news of the absence of several Arab leaders, including President Hosni Mubarak and Saudi King Abdullah, is likely to make today's ministerial meeting more tense than the average pre-summit session. With around 12 of the 22 member states of the Arab League expected to be represented at the foreign minister level, the summit itself -- notwithstanding formalities and tradition -- is likely to be much less ambitious than otherwise expected under the stewardship of Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad, who is all but standing isolated from other influential Arab leaders.
The non-participation of Arab leaders is the culmination of a growing sense of frustration with Syria's leadership across Arab capitals in the last three years, mostly over its role in Lebanon -- qualified by many as preventing Lebanese political consensus -- in addition to its declared support for Islamic resistance groups in Palestine and Iraq, not to mention its all but declared alliance with Iran, the clear adversary of the main ally of the so-called "moderate" Arab countries and the United States.
However, for Hesham Youssef, chief of cabinet of Arab League Secretary-General Amr Moussa, the issue of the participation of Arab leaders "is certainly crucial, but should not be blown out of all reasonable proportion". In interview with Al-Ahram Weekly in Cairo before flying to the Syrian capital, Youssef added: "Obviously, it would have been ideal if most Arab leaders would have made it to the Arab summit. The situation in and around the Arab world calls for a serious and candid discussion among Arab leaders."
Youssef accepts that Arab leaders decide their priorities in line with their regional and international foreign policy agendas. "The important thing is that all Arab leaders were keen that their countries be present at the summit. This is an important message that the leaders wish to maintain a certain level of Arab cohesion," he said. Egypt is to be represented by Minister of State for the People's Assembly Affairs Moufid Shehab.
Like other Arab diplomats, including the Syrians, Youssef makes reference to previous Arab summits -- particularly the 2002 Beirut summit -- that convened with a limited presence of Arab leaders, but yet managed, "due to the full engagement of all Arab countries", to produce "key decisions", like the comprehensive adoption of the Arab Peace Initiative.
"I am not at all saying that the participation of Arab leaders is a minor issue. I am just saying that it should not be perceived as the only criteria for the Arab summit to deliver," he added.
Youssef declined to confirm or deny rumours suggesting that only nine Arab leaders would be present in Damascus Saturday morning. "Nothing is a done deal yet. The situation is still subject to consideration," he said.
Meanwhile, the major obstacle to high-level Arab participation in the Damascus summit -- namely the four-month overdue election of a Lebanese president -- remains present. The election session of the Lebanese parliament that was due for Tuesday was postponed, Youssef noted. The chances are slim, he added, for the Damascus summit to achieve a breakthrough in this complicated issue that has so far proven resistant to all mediation, including the determined diplomatic efforts of Secretary-General Moussa.
Beyond Lebanon, "there are huge issues for the Arab countries to discuss and many strategies, plans and decisions that the member states of the Arab League need to work on," according to Youssef. He admits that he is concerned about the slow -- even "at times terrifyingly slow" -- pace of progress in the Arab world with regard to addressing political, developmental, social and regional problems.
The fate of the Arab Peace Initiative, that the latest Arab foreign ministers meeting all but threatened to take off the table if Israel does not come around to serious negotiations with the Palestinians, and the continued humanitarian, political and security disaster in Iraq are "but two of the pressing problems". The summit, Youssef reminds, is an opportunity to address these issues in their wider context; one that includes other Middle Eastern players, like Turkey and Iran, and the strategic interests of other international players, especially the US where a new administration will be in the White House before the next Arab summit convenes in March 2009.
"This is precisely what the Arab summit is supposed to do: decide on major issues and address clear and specific messages to the international community about the collective Arab position and how it believes the conflicts of the region should be addressed," Youssef said.
Is it not exaggerated to talk of "a collective Arab position"? Is there not a division among Arab countries into two camps on practically every critical issue? And is it not striking that at the official Arab League summit it is Arab leaders who supposedly embrace "moderation" that will be absent, leaving proceedings to the US-declared "extremist" camp?
"Don't take it to the extreme," Youssef objects. "Yes, there are different views among Arab countries, about the issues of relations with the US and with Iran, but again all Arab countries would want positive relations with both," he stated. He added that some Arab capitals -- despite certain concerns over Iran's political and security plans for the region -- have taken it upon themselves to offer mediation between Washington and Tehran.
On more concrete conflicts, "there is a collective Arab position that talks is the way forward to retrieve the Arab territories occupied by Israel, but there is no collective position yet as to how far pressure should be exerted on Israel and how," he said. The Arab League diplomat added that there are also collective Arab positions on the need for the Sudanese government to promptly reach an agreement with Darfur's rebels (there is even a strong will to support such an agreement), on addressing the state of chaos in Somalia, and on supporting reconciliation in Iraq and preserving Iraq's territorial unity.
"You could argue that this is a rather inactive position, or that it is not being enthusiastically embraced by all, but it is there," Youssef said.
And when it comes to Lebanon, the issue, according to Youssef, is not only the election of a president but also how to build confidence between the government and the opposition and to secure a formula for power sharing. "All Arab capitals, including Damascus, are supportive of the choice of Lebanese Army chief Michel Suleiman for president. The issue is the rest of the deal, in relation to the formation of government, including the share of the majority and opposition in cabinet seats and reform of the legislative elections law," he said.
For Youssef, the Damascus summit has much to deliver. "There has to be at least a containment of current Arab differences. This level of tension is not acceptable when the Arab world is faced with so many political, security and indeed developmental challenges," he said. Also, the Damascus summit should mark the beginning of the return of Syria to the Arab fold. Speculation over the isolation of Syria, particularly tension between Syria and both Egypt and Saudi Arabia, has to be promptly addressed, he added.
Within this context, Youssef refuses to see the non-participation of Arab leaders in the Damascus summit as a vote of no confidence in Syria. "Not at all," he says firmly. "If Arab countries wanted to send this message they would not be present in Damascus at all," he added.
On the other hand, "It is also important that Syria acknowledges the concerns of certain Arab countries over the continuation of divisions in Lebanon, and their impact on regional stability. It is equally important for other Arab countries to accept that the influence of Syria, ultimately, has a ceiling and that Damascus is not the only player in Lebanon," Youssef said.
Overall, Youssef refuses to be pessimistic about the Damascus summit. "It might not be the most dramatic Arab summit," but important decisions will still be made. Youssef is expecting resolutions that advance the cause of Arab economic cooperation ahead of a much-needed Arab Development Summit in Kuwait towards the end of this year, as well as calls for closer relations with various partners in the international community.
On the political side, Youssef expects the summit to be "similar to previous Arab summits that have been convened for the past seven years," where resolutions are passed expressing support for the Palestinians, and lately calling for reconciliation among Palestinians, Iraqis, Sudanese, Somalis and the Lebanese. "The assessment of what Arab summit resolutions really bring is admittedly controversial," Youssef admits.
© Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly. All rights reserved

Summit stakes
By: Gamil Mattar*

© Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly]
March 28/08
Coming to the fore in Damascus, the dilemma Arab leaders face is between making sacrifices and being sacrificed, writes Gamil Mattar*
Times have changed for Arab summits. Balances of power have shifted, some political ideologies have waned and others have waxed, and new government policies and positions are at work. Even the US, which had once cautioned against Arab summits and campaigned to get them postponed or even cancelled, now practically looks forward to them and eagerly offers ideas and advice.
In the past, the Arab League was a podium upon which Arab leaders would vie in the vehemence of their declarations of opposition to colonialism and the Zionist occupation and alliance with foreign powers, be they Eastern or Western. Not infrequently, some Arab officials would apologise in advance to foreign diplomatic representatives for what they were about to proclaim from the Arab League podium. But at least the League's minutes and the history of collective Arab work testify to the fact that no Arab leader has ever used that forum to declare a stance that would offend the sensitivities of the majority of the Arab people.
One remarkable feature of recent years is the way American politicians would regularly and repeatedly seek out "influential" officials in Arab capitals in advance of an Arab summit. From all indications, their purpose was to persuade these officials to avoid adopting certain resolutions or, if that could not be helped, to lighten their tone and make such resolutions "balanced". Then, if persuasion didn't work, pressure would be applied.
So a certain polarisation crept into the official Arab political scene, a polarisation arising from conceptual fiddling. I've heard it said in Arab capitals that to the Americans, these days, the Arabs fall into two categories. The first consists of religious extremists who have declared jihad against the West, freedom fighters engaged in legitimate resistance against military occupation or foreign domination, and protesters against Israeli aggressions against the Palestinians, Zionist expansionism and increasing Jewish intervention in regional and international affairs. In this category, too, fall those who advocate stronger Arab relations with the so-called BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China).
The other category, in the prevailing opinion in Washington, consists of those who unabashedly toe the American policy line and implement the dictates of America's economic ideology and privatise whatever they can on and below the ground, leaving nothing for their countries and their peoples for the years of drought.
This categorisation has done no small injustice to many Arab politicians and intellectuals who were awarded the label "moderate" and lumped together in a pact called the "moderate alliance". In the opinion of those American think tanks that are steeped in neo-conservative ideology, hatred for the Arabs, and unswerving loyalty to Israel, Arab moderates are those who don't make a fuss at the dissolution of Arab countries so long as those countries are not their own. This is the thinking behind opinions and statements urging these Arabs to support with their silence the Ethiopian occupation of Somalia, the "civilised" world's occupation of Darfur, and the current process of dismantling Comoros (which is a member of the Arab League, for those who had not known this fact).
These Arabs are also being asked to stand by and watch as Sudan is torn apart between southerners and northerners and between east and west, and to keep their opinions to themselves on all the scheming and manoeuvring that is currently in progress to build a high dam stretching from the "New Horn of Africa" to Africa's Atlantic shore. In addition, these "moderates" are further being told to stop being so dovish about Iran and to sign up to the multifaceted and gradually escalating confrontation against Tehran. In this regard, some Americans are whispering a word of advice in the ears of Arab officials: "positive" change in Arab policies towards Iran will be looked upon by Israel as the "last" concrete proof it needs of Arab "good intentions".
Naturally, those American politicians want "moderate" Arab rhetoric to be reflected in the resolutions and statements coming out of the Arab summit. So, they are telling the "moderates", no outcries about the economic stranglehold and starvation of an Arab people in Gaza; no demands for a halt to the massacres by NATO forces in Afghan villages or to the bombardment of Somali villages; and no declarations that the Arabs (of both sorts) are becoming less and less able to tolerate Israel's insults and transgressions and Western support of these, and ever more inclined to threaten rejecting a two-state project on the remains and ruins of Palestine. There must be nothing of this sort in the Arab summit statement, or if public opinion has to be appeased, at least keep the tone down.
In a recent conference I attended on the future of the international order, I happened to be sitting next to a woman whose politics I can say for certain are moderate, sensible and realistic. Throughout the conference she seemed obsessed with a single subject, which she called "moderation that has run out of patience, and moderates who've lost the incentive to be moderate". In defence of this position, she asked whether the Latin American summit that was held in Santo Domingo recently was "terrorist" and "extremist" because it took up the call of Latin American moderates and appealed to the US to stop meddling in the domestic affairs of the countries of that continent. They didn't proclaim war against the US or any other country; they didn't call for a boycott or a severing of relations with the US; and they didn't forge an anti-US alliance. All they did was to make it known that their response to US policies was to accelerate their plans for economic integration and cooperation.
The woman went on to say that Latin American moderates suspect parties outside of their continent to deploy the divide- and-conquer method to bring to heel "hard-line" governments, which is to say those that have chosen an alternative path towards economic growth. Isn't China moderate, in fact the epitome of moderation, she asked. Yet the West, led by the US, pounced on it and attempted to encroach on its territorial integrity to punish it for having persevered on the path to growth and development. Then she said, "I'm afraid that the Arab region has been targeted for the next phase of Balkanisation, and it has already begun in Somalia, Sudan and in Iraq, and will threaten other Arab countries before moving to Pakistan and Iran."
I hope Arab leaders reject the notion of a "moderate alliance" as Washington envisions it, not only because it sets Arab governments against each other, which was the objective of British and French colonialist strategy not all that long ago, but also because the idea is being aired at a time of deepening social, political and religious crises that will not be alleviated by fanning yet another axis of polarisation, this one between hard-liners, most of whom are quite moderate in many respects, and moderates, most of whom are quite fanatic in many respects.

Despite the inroads that have already been made in implanting this concept in the Arab political body, I still can not picture an Arab summit statement that does not call for "the need to make a clear distinction between terrorism and a people's right to resist foreign occupation, whether out of opposition to the occupation or in self defence," and that does not support "the right of the Lebanese, Palestinian, Syrian and other Arab peoples to resist Israel's occupation, continuous threat of aggression and campaigns to incite the countries of the world against the Arab and Muslim people." (The latter is, also, a form of aggression and has, in fact, succeeded in putting all Arabs without exception permanently on the defensive). Nor can I imagine a statement issuing from the summit that does not include a point or some reference to "the right of Palestinian refugees to return to their homes".
At the same time, it is not difficult to picture the scale of US pressure for the inclusion in the summit statement of a point that distances the Arab position from Iran, ostensibly in deference to the international community and the UN Security Council, but really because this is what the US and Israel want. I have no doubt that Washington's insistence on such a point will encourage some Arab heads of state to cancel their plans to attend the summit, pleading preoccupation with other concerns. Perhaps, too, the conference will come up with two conflicting statements in this regard: one in which some Arab leaders express their concerns about Iran, thereby appeasing international and regional powers and keeping harm at arm's length, for the time being at least, and a second statement cautioning against the danger of the disintegration of the Islamic nation and calling for a halt to the chain of abuses of the rights of the Arab nation.
The forthcoming days will test the capacities of Arab diplomacy, especially that of Syria in its capacity as host country. Political analysts have no doubt about the aim of Syrian diplomacy at this critical phase. It is to sustain the efficacy of the Syrian role in the Arab order, and it will be a difficult, if not impossible aim, to achieve if Damascus disregards the current state of the Arab world or handles it with an attitude of moral superiority. It will also be a hard objective to accomplish if the only consensus that comes out of the summit in Syria is that the fact that the summit was held constitutes an "accomplishment" for the Arab nation in view of enormous international and regional complexities. Or, similarly, it may occur to some Syrians and "moderates" to promote the notion that the very fact that the summit got off the ground finally dispels that shadow of suspicion that had hung over Damascus as the shoal upon which the principle of regularly scheduled summits always ran aground.
In other words, Syrian diplomacy, with the help of some others, will simply try to arrange things so that they can ultimately emerge from the summit intact and with some reasonable results in hand, in the hope of forestalling the emergence of a dangerous vacuum in Lebanon or elsewhere, like the vacuum that occurred in Iraq, with all its horrifying consequences.
It is no secret that the subject of many confidential admissions and closed-door discussions has to do with the dangerous dilemma in which many parties find themselves -- the dilemma of having to choose between making sacrifices and being sacrificed. No Arab leader wants either, but they are under constant and mounting threats, and commentators and politicians are wrong to underestimate how dangerous this dilemma is. But it is also wrong, and more dangerous, to pretend that political realism compels Arab countries to offer concessions on fundamental rights and principles in order to avoid fragmentation or dissolution. This kind of sacrifice is a bottomless pit and the fastest route to disintegration. The Soviet Union, Yugoslavia, Somalia, Sudan and a few phases of the Palestinian revolution offer eloquent proof.
* The writer is director of the Arab Centre for Development and Futuristic Research.
© Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly. All rights reserved

No leader to send
By: Lucy Fielder
© Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly. March 28/08
With no head of state to send to Damascus and no solution to their political crisis, the Lebanese are wondering what will follow the Arab summit,
Lucy Fielder reports from Beirut
Forlorn hopes that Lebanon may yet send a president to the Arab summit were dashed this week after Parliamentary Speaker Nabih Berri postponed a session to elect a president for a 17th time, just four days before the summit was due to start.
Lebanon has been without a president since November, with the Western-backed government and opposition led by Hizbullah battling it out over power-sharing. Although the two sides have long since agreed on a consensus candidate, army commander Michel Suleiman, they are so implacably opposed on the issue of government formation, the general orientation of Lebanon's policies and its regional role, that there were few hopes of a breakthrough before the summit. Iranian and Syrian-backed Hizbullah's weapons are another bone of contention and a key reason for the high level of international interest in Lebanon.
The summit itself, due to be held in Damascus this weekend, looked likely to be more than usually ineffectual at the time of writing, with Saudi Arabia having announced, as expected, that King Abdullah would not attend in person. Saudi Arabia, along with Egypt, accuses Syria of blocking the election of a president in Lebanon. The low ebb of Syrian-Saudi relations was illustrated by the latter's decision to send its ambassador to the Arab League, Ahmed Qattan, instead of Foreign Minister Prince Saud Al-Faisal. Egypt is also reportedly planning a low-level attendance.
At the time of writing, Lebanese ministers were about to meet to decide whether to send a representative to the summit. Prime Minister Fouad Al-Siniora, who has close relations with the Saudis and poor ones with Syria, is not expected to attend. If Lebanon sends a delegation, it is likely also to be low level -- perhaps its permanent representative to the Arab League. Like Riyadh, Washington and his government colleagues, Al-Siniora blames Syria for the killing of former prime minister Rafik Al-Hariri three years ago, which plunged Lebanon into crisis and created a nominally "pro" and "anti-Syrian" rift that still splits the Lebanese population.
With the summit becoming little more than an opportunity to express dissatisfaction with Syria and deepen its isolation, little of use was expected to come out of the summit concerning the Lebanese situation. But the failure to elect a president beforehand increases the chances of a drawn-out political crisis. According to Osama Safa, head of the Lebanese Centre for Policy Studies, it could perhaps last beyond the 2009 deadline for parliamentary elections.
Syria's critics in Lebanon say Damascus refrained from stirring trouble in Lebanon to pave the way for a smooth Arab summit. Now that this is not within reach, they suggest that it may incite street battles or encourage the opposition to take drastic action if the crisis drags on as expected.
An uneasy calm settled on Beirut's streets over the past three weeks following sporadic troubles in the first two months of the year, including the shooting of at least seven Shia protesters in the southern suburbs in January for which three army officers and eight other soldiers were arrested, and a number of clashes in mixed-sect areas of central Beirut such as Ras Al-Nabeh, Basta and Mazraa. It is as yet unclear who stirred the clashes, which mainly played out between supporters of the Sunni Future Movement of Saad Al-Hariri and Berri's Amal movement and Hizbullah.
"I would expect reminders here and there and exchanges of messages once the summit is out of the way," Safa said, "such as assassinations, roaming bouts of violence, that kind of thing." Safa added that although predictions of a regional war have waned for now, the outlook for Lebanon depends on developments in the region and the coming change in the US administration. "Until then, Lebanon will either be on hold or witness a controlled and measured escalation as we have seen in the past few weeks. For now it appears to be more of the status quo," he said.
Marking the 40-day commemoration of the assassination of Hizbullah military leader Imad Mughniyah, Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah struck a defiant tone with Israel, which the group accuses of the killing, but a conciliatory note on domestic politics. Nasrallah said Hizbullah would seek a solution to the political crisis regardless of the outcome of the Arab summit. Christian leader Michel Aoun, who is allied with Hizbullah, has also said the opposition is planning to introduce a new initiative.
In a televised interview, Berri said he would call Lebanese leaders to a dialogue, which would be the third in the past two years, if the summit as expected yielded no solution. But leaders on both sides are widely seen as being devoid of new ideas to resolve the deadlock, and neither is likely to back down unless a regional development -- such as a thaw in Syrian-Saudi relations or a change in the US-Iran standoff -- pushes them to do so. Previous dialogue sessions eased tensions and reached agreement on more straightforward issues such as the status of Palestinian weapons outside Lebanon's 12 refugee camps. Bridging the chasm between the two main conflicting sides is likely to remain an elusive task for the foreseeable future, however.
A Daily Star editorial this week proposed that a structure be put in place to stop another dialogue round from foundering, but the usually pro-government paper said the opposition's "good turn" deserved one in return. "Before [the dialogue] can happen, it is incumbent on 14 March to reciprocate by answering the gestures made by Nasrallah and Berri in kind. This would serve as a confidence-building measure, but also to get past the tiresome reliance of both sides on empty slogans," it read.
"Only when each side has fully defined its goals and visions will they be able to make a realistic attempt at reconciliation," the editorial added.
© Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly. All rights reserved

Sarkozy to Syria: Lebanon is a Free Country
French President Nicolas Sarkozy has said Syria should realize the importance of Lebanon's freedom.
"Syria should understand the need for Lebanon to be a free country," Sarkozy said in a rare address to both Houses of Parliament during his state visit to Britain which kicked off on Wednesday. "Lebanon should be a free country and everybody should realize that and Syria must also understand that," Sarkozy stressed.
Sarkozy on Thursday kicks off the second day of his visit to Britain with a meeting in Downing Street, followed by an Anglo-French summit.
The first day of his visit was highlighted by an offer to bolster France's military presence in Afghanistan, where NATO forces are fighting a bloody insurgency, along with a rare address to both Houses of Parliament and a state banquet at Windsor Castle. Following the Thursday morning meeting with Prime Minister Gordon Brown, the two leaders are expected to call for greater transparency in the financial markets and reform of major international institutions, the latter of which is a long-standing interest of the British leader. Beirut, 27 Mar 08, 10:06

Defense officials: Hizbullah has rockets that can reach Dimona

By ASSOCIATED PRESS
Senior defense officials say Hizbullah has dramatically increased its rocket range and now threatens most of Israel. The officials said the Lebanese group has acquired new Iranian rockets with a range of around 300 kilometers. That means they can hit anywhere in Israel's heavily populated center and reach as far as Dimona, where Israel's nuclear reactor is located. Hizbullah fired nearly 4,000 rockets into Israel during the Second Lebanon War. Those rockets had a maximum range of some 70 kilometers. The UN peacekeeping force dispatched to Lebanon after that war was meant to prevent Hizbullah from rearming. But the officials say Hizbullah now has many more rockets in its arsenal than the 14,000 it had before the conflict. In early March, UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon reported Israeli claims that Hizbullah's arsenal includes 10,000 long-range rockets and 20,000 short-range rockets in southern Lebanon.

Syrian Tycoon Bristles At U.S. Sanctions Against Him
Makhlouf, Tied To Assad Regime, Promises a Fight

By MARIAM FAM in Damascus, Syria, AND JAY SOLOMON in Washington
March 27, 2008; Page A10
As the U.S. places economic sanctions on Syrian President Bashar Assad and his inner circle, one of Syria's richest men is expanding his foreign partnerships and promising to fight Washington's attempts to rein him in.
In February, the U.S. Treasury Department banned U.S. firms and individuals from doing business with companies controlled by Syrian tycoon Rami Makhlouf. The sanctions would also freeze any of Mr. Makhlouf's American assets. The designation was part of an effort by the Bush administration to economically and diplomatically isolate Damascus. The U.S. says Syria is seeking to destabilize the Lebanese government while supporting militant groups operating in Lebanon, Iraq and the Palestinian territories.
• Business as Usual: Despite U.S. economic sanctions, one of Syria's richest men is expanding foreign partnerships.
• U.S. Strategy: Washington seeks to punish adversarial regimes by targeting their most-prominent businesses.
• Firm Stand: Rami Makhlouf said sanctions had little effect on his business, won't pressure Syria, and can be circumvented.The U.S. is sanctioning Mr. Makhlouf because it says he is involved in corrupt activities. That is a twist: Most Treasury sanctions in recent years have been of companies or individuals allegedly supporting terrorism or weapons proliferation. The Bush administration has already sanctioned a number of Syrian government officials and companies for aiding militant groups operating inside Lebanon and Iraq.
In a rare interview, Mr. Makhlouf said the sanctions had little effect on his business and won't change Syria's behavior. He added that there were ways to circumvent the sanctions.
He also said he had been unfairly targeted and would fight back. "I will sue everyone that issued this decision," he said in his offices in Damascus. "I will demand my rights and ask to be compensated for any past or future damages."
A U.S. official said the Treasury Department has been sued in recent years in relation to its blacklisting of firms alleged to be financing terrorism. The official said the department has won all these cases.
The Treasury Department's sanctioning of Mr. Makhlouf fits into an emerging strategy being employed by Washington as it attempts to punish hostile regimes: targeting their most-prominent business executives and companies.
Over the past two years, the Treasury Department virtually froze North Korea out of the international financial system by blacklisting the Macanese bank through which it conducted most of its overseas transactions. In recent months, the Treasury Department has sought to isolate Myanmar's military government by sanctioning a Burmese businessman widely viewed as the junta's most important fund-raiser.
Mr. Makhlouf's "corrupt behavior, which includes intimidation and obtaining improper business relationships, has both disadvantaged Syrians and entrenched the regime," said Adam Szubin, director of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control, in an interview. "He's very close to the Assad regime, personally and economically."
Mr. Makhlouf, 38 years old, is a cousin of Mr. Assad. His business interests include tourism, real estate, banks and telecommunications. While he is a prominent figure in Syria, he keeps a low profile; many Syrians don't know what he looks like.
In recent years, he has increasingly hooked up with investment partners from other Arab countries and Europe, including some key American allies. That could complicate Washington's efforts to isolate him. The sanctions are only applicable to American citizens, but Washington hopes they will discourage non-American firms from doing business with him as well.
Last year, Mr. Makhlouf and dozens of other prominent Syrian investors established Cham Holding, considered Syria's largest private company. Mr. Makhlouf is the company's vice chairman. He holds about a 12% interest through an investment fund called Al Mashreq, his office said.
Since then, Cham has agreed with Syria's state airline and a Kuwaiti company to set up a new airline. Mr. Makhlouf has also been in talks to sell a stake in Syrian cellphone operator Syriatel Mobile Telecom SA to a Turkish company. Mr. Makhlouf is Syriatel's chairman and majority shareholder.
This month, shortly after the sanctions were imposed, Dubai-based real-estate company Emaar Properties PJSC announced it had agreed to set up a $100 million venture with Cham to develop projects in Syria. Emaar representatives didn't return phone calls and an email request for comment.
In the interview, Mr. Makhlouf said he has no investments or money in the U.S., and that the U.S. move hasn't had much financial impact on his business at home.
Stuart Levey, the Treasury Department undersecretary for terrorism and financial intelligence, said he couldn't comment on whether assets related to Mr. Makhlouf were frozen in the U.S. He added that more important than any frozen assets has been "the information we're providing to governments, businesses and financial institutions around the world" relating to Mr. Makhlouf.
Mr. Levey said he couldn't comment on what specific actions the Treasury might take against Cham Holding or other companies associated with Mr. Makhlouf. He said his office, however, "is looking into all of them," including their ownership structures.
He said the Treasury Department charges against Mr. Makhlouf, particularly regarding corruption, "might make people exercise discretion in determining whether to do business with him."
Mr. Makhlouf said the blacklisting has won him the support of many Syrians, and that there are ways to get around the sanctions.
"Today, I publicly associate myself with companies that I publicly say I own. Tomorrow, maybe I will come up with companies that no one knows I own," he said. "If other companies want to work around this, if they want to work in the country, they can. Syria is a promising market." He also said that the move could rattle potential investors. "After all, this is America," he said. "Most big companies have interests in America."
It remains unclear just how much pressure Washington's actions will place on Mr. Makhlouf and companies doing business with him. An early test case may be Gulfsands Petroleum PLC, a publicly traded, United Kingdom-incorporated energy company. Mr. Makhlouf is a minority shareholder, through Al Mashreq.
Gulfsands' chief executive and largest shareholder, John Dorrier, is an American citizen, and the company has offices in Houston. In October, Gulfsands formed a strategic partnership to develop oil fields in Syria and Iraq with Cham Holding.
A Gulfsands executive said the Treasury Department's blacklisting of Mr. Makhlouf will have no impact on the company pursuing its partnership with Cham. Gulfsands said it would comply with any rulings made by the Treasury.
Mr. Levey said he couldn't comment on Gulfsands, and couldn't discuss companies believed to be tied financially to Mr. Makhlouf.
Mr. Makhlouf said Washington's approach to trying to change Syria's behavior won't work. "This is not how to solve the issue," he said. "Syria is a main player in the region....Pressure on it doesn't produce results."
Senior U.S. officials said they tried to engage Damascus directly by inviting a Syrian delegation last November to the Washington-sponsored Middle East peace conference in Annapolis, Md. Since that time, American diplomats said Syria has displayed no willingness to cooperate with the U.S. and its allies to stabilize the political situation in either Lebanon or the Palestinian territories. The recent sanctioning of Mr. Makhlouf and other Syrian officials is a result of Washington's frustration with President Assad's government, these U.S. officials say.
**Write to Mariam Fam at mariam.fam@wsj.com and Jay Solomon at jay.solomon@wsj.com