LCCC ENGLISH NEWS BULLETIN
NOVEMBER 19/06

Biblical Reading For today
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Luke 18,1-8.
Then he told them a parable about the necessity for them to pray always without becoming weary. He said, There was a judge in a certain town who neither feared God nor respected any human being. And a widow in that town used to come to him and say, 'Render a just decision for me against my adversary.' For a long time the judge was unwilling, but eventually he thought, 'While it is true that I neither fear God nor respect any human being, because this widow keeps bothering me I shall deliver a just decision for her lest she finally come and strike me.'"The Lord said, "Pay attention to what the dishonest judge says. Will not God then secure the rights of his chosen ones who call out to him day and night? Will he be slow to answer them? I tell you, he will see to it that justice is done for them speedily. But when the Son of Man comes, will he find faith on earth?"
 

Free Opinions & Studies
A Divine Seal of Approval-Washington Post - United States 19.11.06
For the Democrats to fly, they must unite the party's wings By David Ignatius 19.11.06
Europe makes welcome addition to expanding peace initiative. Daily Star 19.11.06
Conversation with a proven peacemaker.By Rami G. Khouri 19.11.06

Latest New from the Daily Star for November 19/11/06
Former Lebanese Army sergeant brings torture suit against 2 ex-Syrian officers
UN, Lebanese government agree on tribunal make-up
Lebanese speaker voices opposition to street demonstrations
Israel says its July attack on UN base was an 'error'
Jumblatt to address annual PSP assembly
Fadlallah faults politicians for creating 'arena of conflict'
Officials probe alleged Al-Qaeda Web post
US official says Washington helped remove over 50,000 cluster bombs from South
InfoPro releases detailed report on impact of Israeli war on Lebanon
March 8 students cite evidence that they won AUB student elections
Marathoners get ready to race for the love of Lebanon
Brotherhood blasts minister's remarks on veil
Latest New from miscellaneous sources for
November 19/11/06
Qassem: Saniora Not Allowed to Americanize Lebanon-Naharnet
U.N. Steps in to Settle Lebanon's Political Impasse-Naharnet
Annan urges Syria, Iran to aid Lebanese stability-Washington Post
Blair Set to Open Washington's Road to Damascus. Next Stop ...DEBKA file
Sunni organization in Lebanon: Prepare to confront Hizbullah-Ynetnews

Lebanon: A Threat to Recovery-Naharnet
Turkish Peacekeepers Await Mission Orders in South Lebanon-Naharnet
British Warship Visits Beirut Port-Naharnet
Annan, Assad Discuss 'Recent Developments in Lebanon-Naharnet

Lahoud: 'National Government' Will Be Established No Matter What-Naharnet

Syrian president and UN chief discuss developments in Lebanon-International Herald Tribune
Bids to kill ministers in Lebanon feared-Gulf Times
US Aid to Lebanon Targeted To Build Government Capacity-Washington File
Live from Lebanon-The National Interest Online

Lebanon - Aoun shows his true colors-Ya Libnan
Turkish troops await orders in south Lebanon-Khaleej Times
Syrian Officials and Iraq Study Group Met, Envoy Says-New York Times
Can Iran And Syria Help Stabilize Iraq?Guardian Unlimited

Former Lebanese Army sergeant brings torture suit against 2 ex-Syrian officers
Nader safi says abuse happened during 7 years of imprisonment
By Nada Raad and Kholoud Dayeh -Daily Star staff
Saturday, November 18, 2006
BEIRUT: A former first sergeant in the Lebanese Army filed a lawsuit Friday against two former Syrian officials, accusing them of having him kidnapped and torturing him for seven years. The unprecedented suit brought by Nader Safi was announced at a news conference convened by the committee for the Support of Lebanese in Detention and Exile (SOLIDE) at the Gebran Khalil Gebran Garden, facing the United Nations offices in Downtown Beirut.
Safi presented an official three-page lawsuit to Lebanon's State Prosecutor on November 8. The suit gives a detailed description of how Syrian intelligence forces kidnapped Safi in Raouche in 1991. The suit names Colonel Mohammad Khallouf, former head of Syrian intelligence in Beau Rivage, and Colonel Youssef al-Abdi, known as Nabi Youssef, former head of Syrian intelligence in Anjar. The men are accused of responsibility for what the suit calls Safi's torture.
Safi was charged with "spying on the Syrian Army" and served a seven-year sentence prior to his release in 1998. According to SOLIDE president Ghazi Aad, the suit aims to bring Syria to justice for crimes against humanity and the torture of prisoners, and to ensure "that these charges would not fade away with time."
"We want to bring justice for the past, and protect our future," Aad said.
The Friday news conference drew a modest crowd, mainly older women holding up pictures of loved ones who went missing during the Lebanese Civil War. Each woman wore a badge bearing a picture of a disappeared brother, son or father and the slogan "How much longer?" All the women have similar stories to tell. One elderly woman told reporters the story of her kidnapped son. She said that in 1984 she and her children were at home in Ramlet el-Baida when a member of the Amal Movement allegedly banged on the door and told her son that there was someone downstairs who wanted to speak with him.
"He went down and was beaten, his head covered and his hands tied, thrown into the back seat of a van, and taken away, never to be seen again," she said.
As Aad spoke to the press another woman began to cry out, "We want our children back, even if they are bones, we want them back." "Please return our children," she called, with other women joining in. The Syrian government has long denied that it is holding any Lebanese detainees from the Civil War era.
Damascus has said that the missing persons are likely dead or suffering detention in Palestinian prisons.

Siniora hails EU peace initiative for Mideast
A day after Israel rejects Spanish-French-Italian initiative for a Middle East ceasefire, Lebanese prime minister says his country welcomes plan. 'International community is asked to act as soon as possible in order to evacuate other occupied Arab territories,' he adds
AFP Published: 11.17.06, Lebanon welcomed on Friday the Spanish-French-Italian initiative for a Middle East ceasefire, an exchange of prisoners and an international peace conference.
"We welcome this initiative," Prime Minister Fuad Siniora said. "Its importance today lies in the fact that it asserts the Palestinian issue is central to a just and comprehensive settlement in our region," the premier said in a statement. "The international community is asked to act as soon as possible in order to establish peace and stability in an independent Palestinian state, and to evacuate other (Israeli-) occupied Arab territories," he said. Spain, France and Italy pushed on Thursday for a new Middle East peace plan including an international conference, in a move welcomed by the Palestinian Authority but promptly rejected by Israel . The initiative also seeks a ceasefire, an exchange of Israeli and Palestinian prisoners, a Palestinian "government of national unity" and the despatch of a fact-finding mission to the Palestinian territories. Diplomatic sources said Thursday the proposal from the three countries would be presented at the next European Union summit in December.

Lebanese speaker voices opposition to street demonstrations
Berri mulling 'several formulas'
By Leila Hatoum -Daily Star staff
Saturday, November 18, 2006
BEIRUT: Speaker Nabih Berri has voiced opposition to street demonstrations to topple the government, according to an Al-Jamaa al-Islamiyya official who met with him on Friday, as Lebanese politicians continued to navigate the political crisis gripping the country. Assad Harmoush said that Berri had "refused to go down on the street" in an attempt to force the creation of a national unity government.
Berri, head of the Shiite Amal Movement, also met Friday with Egyptian Ambassador Hussein Darrar.
Darrar said after the meeting that Berri had "several formulas and many suggestions to get Lebanon out of the political stalemate it is passing through."
Separately, Premier Fouad Siniora met with Spain's ambassador to Lebanon, who said the premier has assured him "that the Shiite must have an effective participation in the Cabinet."Lebanon's five Shiite ministers, representing Hizbullah and Amal, resigned from the Cabinet one week ago, demanding a "real" say in the decision-making process. Should Hizbullah and its allies decide to hold demonstrations, they will have to let the government know in advance, Acting Interior Minister Ahmed Fatfat said on Friday. In a telephone interview with The Daily Star, Fatfat said the law was clear that "those
organizing a demonstration must inform the government's representative at least 72 hours before they take to the streets."
"They don't need a license; all they have to do is inform the appropriate official," he said. "This is needed so that the security forces would be able to make their preparations and accompany such an action."
The minister, a member of the anti-Syrian parliamentary coalition, said earlier in a televised interview that "there is an impression among the March 14 Forces that a Syrian-Iranian axis is trying to settle its scores in Lebanon."For his part, Hizbullah Executive Council head Sayyed Hashem Safieddine said on Friday that the government had two choices: "Either surrender to the people's rejection and return to the principles of true partnership, or wait for the decision that will bring a thousand, thousand democratic ways to topple the fallen and unconstitutional group."
Safieddine said the government had "underestimated a national sect on Monday" when the Cabinet approved a UN draft to form an international court into the assassination of former Premier Rafik Hariri despite the resignation of its Shiite members. In a statement released late Thursday, the March 14 Forces said it was "determined" to prevent any attempts "to foil UN Security Council Resolution 1701, the international tribunal or Paris III [January's international donors' conference] at the expense of foreign interests." In related comments, Leb-anese Forces leader Samir Geagea said Friday that efforts to topple the government could lead to assassination attempts against Cabinet ministers.
He did not elaborate, but said that Syria was determined to stop the formation of the international tribunal. Geagea noted the fact that should three additional ministers somehow be lost, the Cabinet could not achieve a quorum. "There are no three ministers who will resign of course, but someone might think of sacking them, in quotes, by pushing them to a final resignation," he told Reuters in a telephone interview. "I think there might be operations targeting ministers and I take this opportunity to say it publicly and especially to tell the ministers to take all precautions," Geagea said. The Christian leader once more warned that small, pro-Syrian groups could incite violence should demonstrations be held. "Unfortunately there are some small sides, not the big ones, who might go this far because they are still linked to the Syrian regime," he said. "It is very clear that this regime has taken a decision to try to stop the international court even through causing strife in Lebanon." - With Agencies

Officials probe alleged Al-Qaeda Web post
Saturday, November 18, 2006
BEIRUT: Acting Interior Minister Ahmad Fatfat said the Lebanese government would know "within 24 hours" if the source of a statement published by a Sunni extremist group and calling for fighting Hizbullah "is Lebanese or not." A statement posted Friday on a Web site used by Al-Qaeda's branch in Iraq called upon Lebanese Sunnis to confront the Shiite group Hizbullah, which it accused of wanting to dominate the country. "We call on our brothers in Lebanon ... to face up to Hizbullah and the hatred of the rafidha [a pejorative for Shiite Muslims] and prepare for a confrontation," said the statement, signed "Mujaheddin of Lebanon."
Fatfat told The Daily Star that an investigation of the matter was under way. A key part of the investigation, Fatfat said, was to determine the statement's source.
Fatfat said he believed that such statements were meant to "alarm the Lebanese." The acting interior minister called the statement "an offense against all the Lebanese, in particular the Sunnis."
The statement is similar in tone and wording to messages from Al-Qaeda in Iraq. "Today they want to dominate Lebanon in its totality, allying themselves with the crusaders in Lebanon, to definitively eliminate the Sunni community," said the statement, which also criticized Iran and Syria. "The rafidha should know we are ready to combat them." The statement accused Hizbullah of being under the control of Syria, which it charged had opened the door to Iranian influence in Lebanon. "They should know that we are ready and eager to launch a war against them," the statement said. A message last week purportedly from the head of Al-Qaeda in Iraq, Abu Hamza al-Muhajer, called on Sunnis everywhere to stand up to Iran, Syria and Hizbullah.Hizbullah MP Amin Shirri said the statement "is very ridiculous and does not deserve any comments." - With AFP

Brotherhood blasts minister's remarks on veil
By Agence France Presse (AFP)
Saturday, November 18, 2006
CAIRO: Egypt's largest opposition group the Muslim Brotherhood called Friday for Culture Minister Farouq Hosni's resignation for saying that the wearing of Islamic veils was a "regressive" trend. "We have presented an urgent appeal to Parliament demanding that Culture Minister Farouq Hosni be relieved of his duties after statements in which he said that wearing the veil is 'regressive,'" said Brotherhood deputy Hamdi Hassan.
Hassan, who initiated the appeal, urged Parliament to "remove this minister and replace him with a minister of culture who will respect our constitution, our Sharia [Islamic law] and our values.""The appeal was presented to Parliament Thursday evening, and will be examined in the coming days," he said.
In an interview published Thursday, Hosni said that the ever-growing number of women wearing the Islamic veil in Egypt was regressive.
"There was an age when our mothers went to university and worked without the veil. It is in that spirit that we grew up. So why this regression?" the minister said in the independent Al-Masri Al-Yom daily. Most Muslim clerics consider wearing the veil to be a religious obligation, and growing conservatism has seen most women take up the veil in Egypt, formerly considered one of the most liberal societies in the Middle East.
"Each woman with her beautiful hair is like a flower, and should not be concealed from the view of others," Hosni said in his interview, arguing: "Religion today focuses on appearances too much." - AFP

U.N. Steps in to Settle Lebanon's Political Impasse
The United Nations has stepped in to settle the critical political crisis gripping Lebanon and would soon dispatch a delegate in a bid to "tranquilize" mounting tension. The daily As Safir, citing Arab diplomatic sources in New York, said U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan has decided to "launch a political initiative aimed at tranquilizing the political situation in Lebanon." The sources said that U.N. Security Council Resolution 1701, which brought the Israel-Hizbullah summer war to an end, "permits such an authority since Lebanon's internal stability is part of the overall U.N. mandate."
They said that the U.N. Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) "cannot work in an unstable political environment or under any security threats."
As Safir said the initiative, which would be announced early next week, followed intensive contacts with the various pro- and anti-Syrian Lebanese factions where "ideas have been laid down starting off with consensus over a political and media calm."The sources said the first phase of the initiative would be to try to find a compromise "between the idea of modifying the cabinet and the need to approve the international tribunal" to try the assassins of former Premier Rafik Hariri. Magistrates Ralf Riashi and Shukri Sader left for New York late Friday to attend the U.N. Security Council meeting which is likely to be held on Monday to approve the creation of the international court.
Meanwhile, Speaker Nabih Berri, who organized the national dialogue until its collapse last week, was quoted as saying that he was devoted to keep Prime Minister Fouad Saniora in office, according to As Safir. It said Berri reiterated that the only way out of this political deadlock "is through modification or expansion of the government."Berri's remarks were made after meetings Friday with the ambassadors of Egypt and Spain in an effort to find a resolution to the political bickering. All-party talks failed last week after Saniora called for a cabinet meeting to endorse the international court. Beirut, 18 Nov 06, 09:13

For the Democrats to fly, they must unite the party's wings
By David Ignatius -Daily Star staff
Saturday, November 18, 2006
The Democrats now have the opportunity the Republicans spurned, which is to build a broad coalition in the center and become once again the nation's governing party. But to achieve that, the Democrats must stand for values that connect with those of most Americans. The center is meaningless, after all, except as a platform for enacting legislation the public wants.
Some Democratic initiatives are obvious after the November election: The public wants changes in Iraq policy that reduce the costs and dangers for America; reform of an arrogant and corrupt congressional leadership; and an end to partisan political bickering. The new House speaker, Nancy Pelosi, had a disastrous post-election week in which her first priority seemed to be settling scores, rather than solving these big problems. Shame on her! But let's assume for the moment that the new Democratic majority won't commit instant suicide with a continuation of Pelosi's payback politics, and will get serious about governing.
What are the issues where the Democrats should plant their flag and try to create a new majority? Two are no-brainers that should have broad bipartisan support next year: reviving the Clinton administration's push for national heath-care policies that can save costs and improve care; and getting serious about alternative energy policies that can reduce demand for foreign oil. Senator Hillary Clinton has already staked out these issues, which will enhance her stature as a 2008 presidential candidate.
A third big Democratic idea was advanced this week by Jim Webb, the senator-elect from Virginia who promises to be one of the most interesting voices in the new Congress. He argued in The Wall Street Journal that the Democrats should focus on economic justice. "America's top tier has grown infinitely richer and more removed over the past 25 years," he wrote. "It should be the first order of business for the new Congress to begin addressing these divisions, and to work to bring true fairness back to economic life." Former Senator John Edwards,
another leading Democratic contender for 2008, has put his stamp on this same issue through his new Center on Poverty, Work and Opportunity at the University of North Carolina.
Webb and Edwards are right about the dangers of rising inequality in America. Studies by the Census Bureau, the National Bureau of Economic Research and other organizations all report growing inequality in income distribution over the past 35 years. According to a June 2000 study by the Census Bureau, the gap between rich and poor began widening sharply in the early 1980s. From 1980 to 1992, the share of national income going to the top fifth rose by nearly 18 percent. The income gap continued during the technology boom and the stock-option frenzy of the Clinton years, according to studies by a leading analyst of inequality, James K. Galbraith of the University of Texas. He notes that the collapse of the tech bubble and the surge of military spending under President George W. Bush shifted the pattern of winners - but from Democrat, or blue-state, counties to other blue-state counties. In a recent paper, Galbraith found that the big gainers of the 1990s - Santa Clara, San Mateo and San Francisco counties in California and New York City - were the top four losers from 2000 to 2004, while the four big winners since 2000 were the District of Columbia and Fairfax, Virginia, Los Angeles and San Diego counties.
The Democrats' challenge is to fuse populist anger with the party's other dynamic movement - the call for fiscal reforms made by former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin and other members of the Hamilton Project, which seeks budget-balancing changes in entitlement spending. The goal should be to articulate policies that are at once pro-equality and pro-growth. That's a tall order, especially at a time when the American economy appears to be slowing.
Lawrence Summers, a former treasury secretary and Harvard economist, suggested the right balance in a column in The Financial Times last month: "The best parts of the progressive tradition do not oppose the market system; they improve on the outcomes it naturally produces. That is what we need today."
If the Democrats hope to re-create the "big tent" of a true governing coalition, they have to find policies that bring together the wings of their own party. Successful economic policies will be those that advance the interests of Main Street without destroying those of Wall Street, and vice versa. Solving that puzzle is a big intellectual challenge. It should motivate and unite the Democrats - from Webb and Edwards to Clinton and Rubin - as they move toward 2008.
Syndicated columnist David Ignatius is published regularly by THE DAILY STAR.

Europe makes welcome addition to expanding peace initiative
Saturday, November 18, 2006
Editorial-Daily Star
It is too soon to know whether the Middle East has received an early Christmas gift in the form of a workable peace initiative for Palestine and Israel, but the three wise men who have proposed it deserve credit for focusing world attention on the region's most intractable problem. The five-point plan unveiled by Spanish Premier Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, French President Jacques Chirac and Italian Prime Minister Romano Prodi is only the latest of several recent attempts on the part of international leaders to breathe new life into a moribund peace process. Shortly after the end of the war in Lebanon this summer, Qatar launched a fresh push for a return to peace negotiations, and Doha's move was followed by the Arab League's renewed commitment to a Saudi-penned peace initiative. Then British Prime Minister Tony Blair renewed his calls for a resolution to the conflict, telling a US panel that any solution to the problems in Iraq must come as part of a broader strategy for regional peace.
In fact the only major world leader who has not yet jumped on the peace bandwagon is US President George W. Bush. The American president has vowed to see the creation of a Palestinian state before he leaves office, but he has so far done very little to accomplish that objective.
Bush's absence from the peace drive is made up for, however, by the presence of a growing number of international leaders who are recognizing the benefits of securing an agreement between the Palestinians and Israelis. The participation of these leaders makes the prospects for a return to negotiations look less bleak, even as the killing rages on in Gaza.
Another cause for optimism is the re-emergence of European diplomacy on the global stage. Throughout Bush's first term, Europe's diplomatic role in the Middle East was eclipsed by a heavy-handed and hawkish American foreign policy. But difficulties in Iraq, along with other failures in foreign policy, have forced a rethink of US strategies in the region and have made it necessary for the president to adopt a more cooperative stance toward his allies across the Atlantic. Bush's maneuvering room has diminished even further now that many of his fellow party members have been voted out of Congress. The time is ripe for the Europeans to take the lead in reviving the peace process.
Now that European leaders have put the peace process at the top of their agenda, it is all the more urgent for the Palestinians to complete the formation of their unity government. The first task of the newly appointed Palestinian premier ought to be to visit Europe for talks with Zapatero, Chirac, Prodi and Blair.
There is no guarantee that the newly launched European peace blueprint will bear any fruit. Indeed, the Israelis, who have scuttled several peace initiatives in the past, have already flatly rejected the European proposal. But an emerging international consensus on the urgent need for a peace agreement could provide the necessary momentum to finally rid ourselves of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, which has for far too long been a source of regional instability.

Conversation with a proven peacemaker
By Rami G. Khouri -Daily Star staff
Saturday, November 18, 2006
When you want to make peace, it is useful to turn to a proven peacemaker. The other day in New York I had a chance to sit down with one of the successful peacemakers of our time and explore the lessons of his own rich experience, especially in view of current attempts to revive a Middle East peace conference.
The man I mean is former US Senator George Mitchell, who spent years as an American diplomatic envoy during the Clinton administration. He played brief roles in the Palestinian-Israeli and Bosnia conflicts, but his lasting success was representing the United States for over five years in facilitating the peace talks in Northern Ireland as of the late 1990s.
Few people in the world enjoy his perspective of knowing both the Northern Ireland and Palestinian-Israeli conflicts from personal experience. Because of Mitchell's sensibility and good judgment (he served as a judge in an earlier career) along with his political experience in shaping compromises in his senatorial days, I thought his views and suggestions on how to approach peacemaking in the Arab-Israeli conflict today would be worth exploring. He quickly proved me correct.
Mitchell first cautioned against drawing too many parallels between Northern Ireland and the Middle East, which have distinct characteristics. However, he also saw some general similarities that pertain to all peacemaking attempts, three in particular: First, he said, all sides in a negotiation must commit to ceasing violence and to reaching an agreement only through peaceful diplomacy. Peace agreements are unlikely to emanate from a context of continuing conflict and lack of trust. Second, patience and determination are vital; participants and mediators alike cannot give up when they hit a snag or suffer violent incidents. And third, one must dispel the notion that some very difficult conflicts are destined to go on forever, and instead affirm that a negotiated resolution can be achieved.
A successful negotiation also needs a fair mediator who is both persistent and impartial. This helps to reinforce the essential perception of the parties that their minimal demands can be met, and their basic human dignity preserved, through peaceful diplomacy.
Mitchell's experience in the Middle East mainly involved heading an international team in 2001, after the second intifada had broken out in the wake of the failure of the Camp David talks of summer 2000. His team produced a report on how to end the fighting and move back to Palestinian-Israeli negotiations. The report was accepted by both sides, with some reservations, but never achieved its goals because its recommendations were not implemented, due to a lack of political follow-up.
Mitchell's observations are noteworthy because there are numerous signs today in Palestine, the Arab world, the US, and Europe indicating a growing interest in an international conference to explore a negotiated, comprehensive Arab-Israeli settlement. My own sense is that chances of success remain slim today, in view of Israel's skepticism and the penchant of most parties with their shallow leaderships to hold onto hard-line positions and remain locked in confrontation and conflict. Yet pressure may build to resume negotiations, especially as an adjunct to progress in Iraq. If so, Mitchell's experience in Northern Ireland should be studied carefully.
Mitchell emphasized the need to engage all relevant parties in any peace process. The Northern Ireland talks failed to advance for years because key parties linked to paramilitary groups were excluded. The better approach - which eventually worked in Northern Ireland - was to bring in all the main players but insist they commit to a non-violent resolution of their conflict.
The implications for the current situation in the Middle East seem clear. Parties that some people want to exclude from the political process, like Hamas, must have an opportunity to exchange views, Mitchell said. He did not directly engage the Irish Republican Army, but dealt with them through their political arm, Sinn Fein. The critical breakthrough was getting their commitment, along with that of the Unionists, to end violence as a precondition to talking. Also, the parties were not obligated to make any prior commitment on the substance of the negotiations or their end result.
Mitchell reminds us that all parties to a long and bitter conflict must have their say and be taken seriously, in order to help reduce the sense of victimization that can often define a community. Those who use violence and then commit to non-violent conflict resolution do so only if they are convinced that they will achieve their minimal goals through a process that is mediated fairly by a truly objective third party. The US is the only external party today that can help negotiate Arab-Israeli peace, Mitchell argued, and it should persevere more in the region for this purpose.
**Rami G. Khouri writes a regular commentary for THE DAILY STAR.

A Divine Seal of Approval
By Alia Ibrahim-Washington Post
Sunday, November 19, 2006; Page B03
BEIRUT The billboards loom high over the lines of traffic that snake their way daily along the length of the airport road. "The divine victory," they proclaim, beneath a photo of camouflage-clad soldiers loading a rocket launcher. Or, below the shot of a child's cherubic face, "A victory from God."
By the standards of ordinary warfare, last summer's conflict between Israel and Hezbollah ended with an inconclusive truce and no real winner or loser. But don't tell that to the residents of southern Lebanon. Here in the land that is Hezbollah's headquarters, the 33-day war has been branded beyond a doubt:
It was a holy war fought for the glory of God. And Hezbollah warriors, with God's help, won a magnificent victory against the Israeli invaders.
Hezbollah is no doubt drawing strength from the now-solidified public perception of victory in that war in its new campaign against the Lebanese government of Prime Minister Fouad Siniora. Criticizing him for a lack of support during the war, the organization and its allies have withdrawn six ministers from the cabinet and demanded more representation -- one-third of the 24 cabinet seats, which would give them veto power over all legislation and the ability to bring down the government at any time.
Hezbollah's newfound leverage and stunning success at turning what much of the world saw as a near-disaster for its cause into a source of Islamic pride and a rallying point for support is at least in part the fruit of a masterful propaganda campaign. And it was hatched soon after the first Israeli bombs fell in July. "During the war, while the boys were fighting, we at the information department were working hard on this campaign," Ghassan Darwish, head of Hezbollah's bureau of information, told me.
The first posters proclaiming victory appeared in the Dahiya, a hardscrabble swath of southern Beirut suburbs that is Hezbollah's stronghold, just hours after the truce was called in August. In the days that followed, the campaign grew into an unprecedented display of billboards along major roads across the country, featuring 11 photographs and focusing on three themes: the Hezbollah fighters' courage, the Lebanese people's resilience and the defeat of the "invincible" Israeli army.
One poster reading "Divine Victory" in green and white on a red background shows two Hezbollah fighters, standing next to a Katyusha multiple-rocket launcher, saluting and looking at the sky. Next to them are the words: "With the hands of the mujahedeen." Another poster shows a close-up of a little boy next to the phrase: "With the hope of the children." Another depicts an injured old man and the words: "With the patience of the resilient." Some posters show Israeli soldiers, weeping as they carry the coffins of their slain comrades to burial, alongside the words: "The invincible army."
Banners criticizing Israel and the United States also hang on the ruins of apartment buildings, businesses and Hezbollah offices, bearing slogans such as "The New Middle Beast," playing off Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's reference to a "new Middle East," "Smart Bombs for Stupid Minds" and "Trademark, Made in the USA."
The "victory from God" slogan has been heavily promoted on the Hezbollah-owned TV channel Al-Manar and radio station Al-Nour. And the group's al-Wilaya Orchestra has produced a couple of albums, "A Victory from God" and "The Truthful Promise."
Because Hezbollah has its own design and production teams, it says the campaign cost only about $60,000 -- far less than an advertising and PR campaign of this sort would normally cost. The organization has painted it as an effort to "boost the morale of those who were suffering the most from human and material losses," as Darwish put it.
Indeed, three months after the fighting ended, parts of Lebanon remain a shambles. The war tore apart hundreds of families and left even more homeless. In addition to more than 1,200 dead and upward of 4,000 wounded, economists here estimate that the overall cost of the war could exceed $7 billion, a huge burden on Lebanon's ailing economy.
So the slogans and messages can be an effective way to help the community deal with the loss. "I believe Hezbollah felt they were in crisis, they didn't have many choices, they have strong propaganda skills, and they felt they needed to rely on supernatural forces to help their audience," said Mona Fayyad, a professor of psychology at the Lebanese University.
A faith in the supernatural infused the war from the start. Stories from the battlefield circulated from village to village: of missiles that fired off by themselves as Hezbollah fighters stood by, or of imaginary combatants fighting Israeli soldiers in the border towns. On the day that his brother, a Hezbollah fighter, was buried after the war, Mahmoud Chalhoub of the town of Qana told me that he believed it was "godly intervention" that had determined the war's outcome.
"We believe that God's angels and the Mahdi were there, protecting our boys," he said. "Even the Israelis talk about a man all in white, riding a white horse, who cut off the hand of one of their soldiers as he was about to launch a missile.
"The Israelis pretend that Hezbollah possesses satellites and this is how its fighters were able to aim at military targets. We don't have satellites, we have missiles guided by God," said Chalhoub, echoing the words of Hezbollah leader Hasan Nasrallah, whose taped speeches in the early days of the war also spoke of divinely guided missiles.
But the "divine victory" slogan probably has another aim as well: to intimidate and silence Hezbollah's opponents. "What they do, they do in the name of God; what results from it is also the result of God's will," Fayyad said. "Whoever doesn't agree would be blaspheming."
The campaign has caused dissension in Lebanon's notoriously fractured political circles. Walid Jumblatt, leader of the minority Druze community, declared that anyone who considers the war a divine one is "crazy." He also called Hezbollah's audience "unthinking," prompting Nasrallah to demand an apology.
But Jumblatt's words had little effect on Hezbollah's true believers. The campaign may be propaganda, but it found a willing audience in Lebanon's impoverished south. While Hezbollah may not have been victorious in the war, it has clearly won the war of perceptions. And that may be the most important victory of all.
aliaibrahim1@gmail.com
Alia Ibrahim is Beirut correspondent for Dubai TV.